Texas Senate winner? (2026)
65%James Talarico
- James Talarico65%▲ 1
- Ken Paxton36%▼ 1
Install
Midterms: Blue trickle? (2026)
The odds
94%chance▲ 2
How the odds have moved
Yes: 92% on Oct 20, 94% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 94% | ▲ 2 | 93¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 23.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Midterms, Blue
Search ›-
US midterms: The rise of AI election ads in US midterms campaignResearchers say AI ads are being used more than ever in the US midterms campaign ahead of the elections in November. Some of the ads are being funded by outside political groups but they have also come directly from candidates in some key… -
U.S. midterms — Republicans face growing Blue waveAlso read | U.S. midterms — Donald Trump’s test, India’s stakes This week, his campaign announced plans to spend $4 million promoting an advertisement featuring Ms. Acton’s estranged mother calling her a liar, drawing criticism from… -
Economic struggles motivate midterm votersCBS News Bay Area Morning Edition Weekend 7am CBS News Chicago Saturday at 9am CBS Colorado Mornings Weekend CBS News Los Angeles Weekend 7am CBS News Miami This Morning 10am CBS News New York Saturday 10am KDKA News This Morning Saturday… -
Will Trump’s midterm blitz boost turnout?Paul Gigot interviews pollster Mark Penn on ‘The Journal Editorial Report.' Will Trump’s midterm blitz boost turnout? Paul Gigot interviews pollster Mark Penn on ‘The Journal Editorial Report.' -
Key politics at play in the 2026 midtermsCBS News Los Angeles Weekend 8am CBS News Miami This Morning 10am CBS News New York Saturday 11am Hometown High Q Classics CBS News Texas 9am -
Iowa’s cancer problem is scrambling the midtermsAs the debate season kicked off in Iowa’s heated gubernatorial race, one question seemed to animate and, in some ways, unify the candidates. “What are the immediate and specific steps that you would take to combat Iowa’s cancer crisis?”… -
Catholic Charities helps Minnesota's unhoused vote ahead of midtermsOctober 24, 2026 / 6:49 PM CDT / CBS Minnesota More than 400,000 Minnesotans have already voted in this midterm election, according to the Secretary of State's office, a big increase from 2022, when around 280,000 were reported during that… -
Obama fires up Democrats at midterm rally in ClevelandFormer President Barack Obama returned to the campaign circuit Saturday during a midterm rally in Ohio for U.S. Senate candidate Sherrod Brown and gubernatorial candidate Amy Acton. Obama fires up Democrats at midterm rally in Cleveland… -
Trump casts his midterm election ballot early in FloridaPresident Donald Trump cast his ballot in the midterm elections Saturday, saying he voted for all Republicans in Florida before speaking at a Georgia rally. Trump and first lady Melania Trump arrived together at their West Palm Beach… -
GOP, Dems take on Georgia as midterms round cornerFormer Biden administration official Gevin Reynolds and Republican strategist Brian Robinson analyze the massive early voting turnout in Georgia as political stars head to the swing state. GOP, Dems take on Georgia as midterms round corner… -
Iowa farmers continue backing Trump and GOP ahead of midtermsIowa GOP gubernatorial candidate Zach Lahn joins ‘The Big Weekend Show’ to discuss diesel prices, farmers’ support for the GOP and his race against Iowa State Auditor Rob Sand. Iowa farmers continue backing Trump and GOP ahead of midterms… -
This decade has been missing its big-impact midtermNew speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., holds the gavel during the opening session of the 116th Congress at the Capitol in Washington, D.C., on Jan. 3, 2019. Saul Loeb/AFP via Getty Images hide caption…
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1 more
- R-House, D-Senate1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.