Brazil Presidential Election
76%Flávio Bolsonaro
- Flávio Bolsonaro76%▼ 8
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva24%▲ 8
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Bauchi State Governor winner? (2027)
The odds
37%APC
- APC37%▲ 1
- APM29%▲ 1
- PDP8%▲ 1
- PRP7%▲ 1
- ADC7%▲ 1
- NDC3%
- NNPP3%
- APGA3%
- LP3%
How the odds have moved
APC: 37% on Oct 19, 37% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| APC | 37% | ▲ 1 | 36¢ | 44¢ | $2.27 | |
| APM | 29% | ▲ 1 | 27¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | |
| PDP | 8% | ▲ 1 | 5¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | |
| PRP | 7% | ▲ 1 | 4¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | |
| ADC | 7% | ▲ 1 | 3¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | |
| NDC | 3% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | ||
| NNPP | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | ||
| APGA | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | ||
| LP | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Bauchi State Governor
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Seyi Makinde Jumps Off Stage, Challenges Rivals To Prove Stamina Ahead Of 2027 ElectionMakinde made the demonstration at the APM South-West Presidential Campaign Town Hall Meeting held at the Ondo State International Conference Centre, popularly known as The Dome. Addressing supporters, the governor said he would focus on… -
Pate: Bauchi Has Many Reasons To Support Tinubu In 2027Pate says Tinubu’s reforms, healthcare recruitment, infrastructure projects and agricultural interventions give Bauchi residents reasons to support him in 2027. The Coordinating Minister of Health and Social Welfare, Mohammad Ali Pate, has… - 2027: If they can jump down, vote for them, Makinde tells supportersOyo State Governor and 2027 presidential candidate of the Allied Peoples Movement, Seyi Makinde, has challenged his opponents to demonstrate their physical stamina, jumping off a stage during a political gathering in Akure, Ondo State, on…
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JUST IN: Bauchi APM Crisis Deepens As Faction Removes Chairman, Names Interim LeaderThe party’s secretary, Mohammed Nasir Yahaya, who led some executives to a press conference on Wednesday, said Isah’s removal followed allegations of financial mismanagement, poor record-keeping, failure to operate an official party bank… -
South-South APM Chairmen Pass Vote Of No Confidence In Makinde, Boycott Town HallThe chairmen announced their position in a resolution signed by representatives from the six South-South states, expressing dissatisfaction with what they described as inadequate consultation, recognition and engagement with the party’s… -
2027: Tinubu, APC behind disunity in opposition, Makinde allegesHe stated that part of their strategy was to continue to weaken the ranks of the opposition ahead of the polls. Makinde spoke in Uyo, Akwa Ibom, during the South-South leg of his zonal town hall engagements with Nigerians ahead of the… - 2027: Nigeria not working Gov. MakindeMakinde said his agenda would tackle insecurity, poverty and economic hardship, arguing that Nigeria could no longer afford policies that burden citizens without translating into better living conditions. He spoke at the APM Presidential…
- Makinde/Daura campaign: APM South-East demand dissolution of state coordinatorship structuresThe chairmen, who insisted that the party’s recognised leadership structures must be respected, said the appointment of zonal and state coordinators without adequate consultation could undermine internal democracy, create competing centres…
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South-East APM chairmen call for dissolution of Makinde/Daura campaign structures—-Threaten to quit campaign, insist on respect for party leadership ABUJA– The five APM state chairmen in the South-East have called for the immediate dissolution of the state coordinatorship structures set up for the proposed… - Gov Bala mourns as Bauchi govt official, four children killed in auto crashBauchi State Governor, Senator Bala Abdulkadir Mohammed, has expressed grief over the death of Alhaji Ibrahim Ladan Duguri, Executive Secretary of the Bauchi State Health Contributory Management Agency (BASHCMA), and four of his children…
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Bala Mohammed: A season of enlightenment in Bauchi18 October 2026 12:42 am WAT The video clip presents a tear-evoking pathos. A wiry, crumpled old man being helped up from his decrepit bed in an equally shambolic little room. As you can see, I have been sick for a long while and here I… -
Gov Bala Mohammed orders crackdown on illegal miners in BauchiBauchi State Governor Bala Mohammed has ordered the military and other security agencies to step up operations against illegal miners, warning that anyone involved would face the law regardless of their political influence or connections…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions