The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Harry Kane
71%
▲ 3
71¢
72¢
$1.39
3.1M
Kylian Mbappe
18%
▼ 1
18¢
19¢
$5.26
4.2M
Lamine Yamal
12%
▲ 2
12¢
13¢
$7.69
3.8M
Lionel Messi
1%
1¢
2¢
$50.00
4.7M
Raphinha
1%
$100.00
57.7K
Bukayo Saka
1%
$100.00
68.8K
Pedri
1%
$100.00
51.8K
Cristiano Ronaldo
1%
$100.00
63.4K
Rayan Cherki
1%
$100.00
39.7K
Desire Doue
1%
$100.00
21.8K
Mohamed Salah
1%
$100.00
35.4K
Cole Palmer
1%
$100.00
23.1K
Scott McTominay
1%
$100.00
16.0K
Bradley Barcola
1%
$100.00
25.4K
Tijjani Reijnders
1%
$100.00
47.7K
Phil Foden
1%
$100.00
24.1K
Gianluigi Donnarumma
1%
$100.00
25.6K
Marcus Rashford
1%
$100.00
25.5K
Erling Haaland
<1%
1¢
$100.00
529.1K
Declan Rice
<1%
1¢
$100.00
118.8K
Vitinha
<1%
1¢
$100.00
71.6K
Michael Olise
<1%
1¢
$100.00
474.1K
Vinicius Junior
<1%
1¢
$100.00
71.3K
Luis Diaz
<1%
1¢
$100.00
68.0K
Jude Bellingham
<1%
1¢
$100.00
342.5K
Ousmane Dembele
<1%
1¢
$100.00
1.1M
Nuno Mendes
<1%
1¢
$100.00
32.4K
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
1¢
$100.00
74.3K
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
1¢
$100.00
21.9K
Rodri
<1%
1¢
$100.00
1.8M
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
<1%
1¢
$100.00
911.1K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Harry Kane Leads Ballon d'Or 2026 Contenders List@Rato_pati · 15 h agoFootball's prestigious individual award, the Ballon d'Or 2026, sees Bayern Munich striker Harry Kane as the main contender. Bavarian Football Works (BFW) has placed Kane in the first position in the estimated top 10 players list for this…
Why Stanley Matthews’ Ballon d’Or triumph echoes down the years for Harry Kanethe Guardian · 19 h agoIn 1956, the Blackpool great was recognised for his force of individual will, the very thing that makes the Bayern and England striker the standout candiate Systems football began in 1963 – on the hallowed turf of Wembley – with the impact…
Before the Clásico and the Ballon d'Or: Yamal tightens his grip on MbappéYardbarker · 18 h agoYamal holds a 9-2 advantage over Mbappé ahead of the Clásico Lamine Yamal and Kylian Mbappé are set to go head to head twice in the space of 24 hours. Round one comes on Sunday evening at the Spotify Camp Nou, where Barcelona host Real…
Pundit says Lionel Messi poses threat to Harry Kane’s Ballon d’Or hopesBavarian Football Works · 13 h agoWill the FC Bayern star be upended by the G.O.A.T.? Harry Kane might be among the leading contenders for the Ballon d’Or, but former France international Djibril Cissé believes there is one name that should not be overlooked in the race…
Ballon d'Or 2026: 'No argument' - Steven Gerrard names player to win award on MondayDaily Post Nigeria · 30 h agoLiverpool legend, Steven Gerrard has backed Bayern Munich striker, Harry Kane to win the 2026 Ballon d'Or on Monday. According to Gerrard, there is no argument against Kane winning the Ballon d'Or ahead of other contenders like Barcelona's…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 
