Brazil Presidential Election
65%Flávio Bolsonaro
- Flávio Bolsonaro65%▼ 18
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva35%▲ 17
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Balearic Islands regional election winner? (2027)
The odds
80%PP
- PP80%▼ 1
- PSIB-PSOE14%▲ 1
- Vox6%
How the odds have moved
PP: 88% on Oct 19, 80% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PP | 80% | ▼ 1 | 76¢ | 83¢ | $1.20 | 385 |
| PSIB-PSOE | 14% | ▲ 1 | 10¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 40.00 |
| Vox | 6% | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Balearic Islands
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Spain election campaign sharpens as Feijóo sets out pledgesFor the Spanish audience, Balearic Islands is followed as a Spanish region where politics, weather, tourism, transport and public services shape daily life.Updates cover local events, incidents, fiestas, holidays, business changes, travel… -
Ernest Urtasun: "In these elections we are gambling the future of Catalan"BarcelonaThe Minister of Culture, Ernest Urtasun (Barcelona, 1982), visits the ARA newsroom a few days after it was made public that he will be number 2 on the Front-Ampli candidacy for Barcelona in the upcoming general elections. Read it… -
The Government to expand marine protection in the Serra de Tramuntana and Formenterawww.pasionporelmar.com The Government to expand marine protection in the Serra de Tramuntana and Formentera The Balearic Islands will expand the marine boundaries of the Serra de Tramuntana Natural Area and the Es Freus de Formentera… -
Calls to cap Balearic tourist numbers as 13 million: “Mallorca is not a money making machine for the few”The spokesperson for left-wing opposition party Més per Mallorca, Lluís Apesteguia, on Wednesday proposed to the President of the Balearics Government, Marga Prohens, a ten-year plan to reduce the number of tourists arriving in the… - Illegal immigration into Spain rises as the rest of the EU records sharp fallsThe western Mediterranean is the only major route into the European Union still growing, and the official count leaves out the invasion of Ceuta in July. Illegal immigration into Spain has risen by 26 per cent in the first nine months of…
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Feijóo, with the Catalan nuisanceThis man who is running for the PP, Alberto Núñez Feijóo, went to Catalonia to explain something he calls Contrato con España and which amounts to the most notable measures he intends to implement if Spain hires him as president of the… - Migration crisis erupts as 19,000 flood Greek island loved by Brits - 17 boats in 4 daysWhile nine vessels managed to reach the shore directly, others were spotted dozens of nautical miles out by Frontex drones and coastguard aircraft, forcing rescue vessels to bring hundreds of migrants into port. The rapid influx has…
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86,000 people in the Balearics are living in “severe poverty” on less than 680 euros a monthHumphrey Carter | Palma | 2026-10-17 12:16 Around 86,000 people are living in “severe poverty” in the Balearics, with incomes below 40 per cent of the national average – that is, less than 680 euros a month to meet their basic needs. This… - Archive. News of the day 17 October 2026The Balearic Islands Travel Agents’ Business Association AVIBA explains that package holidays may be subject to justified price adjustments, whilst airlines cannot add fuel surcharges to tickets that have already been purchased. The…
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State left-wing parties fail to reach an agreement to go together on 29-NThe unity of the left of the PSOE achieved in some territories –in the Valencian Country, for example, Compromís, Podemos, United Left and Republican Left have reached an agreement to run with a single list on 29-N–, became, therefore, a… -
Balearics draws international attention due to an unprecedented surge in small-boatsThe Maritime Rescue Service and the Guardia Civil rescued 21 migrants of sub-Saharan origin from a small boat in the early hours of this morning, some 5 miles south-east of Cabrera. With Friday’s small boat, a dozen such vessels carrying… -
The Broad Front offers Montero a starting position on the Madrid list for 29-NThe candidate, Emilio Delgado, claims that it is a "very generous" offer: "We are in time" Last-minute moves to try to close an agreement in extremis to the left of the PSOE The Broad Front has proposed to Podemos a starting position on…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions