Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?
24%December 31, 2029
- December 31, 202710%
- December 31, 202817%▼ 2
- December 31, 202924%
Install
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score
The odds
25%above 1490
1,4851,525
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| above 1490 | 25% | ▼ 6 | 24¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | 21.2K |
| above 1495 | 25% | ▼ 2 | 23¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | 14.3K |
| above 1500 | 25% | ▼ 1 | 23¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | 25.6K |
| above 1505 | 25% | ▼ 1 | 26¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | 9.0K |
| above 1510 | 25% | ▼ 1 | 25¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | 16.8K |
| above 1515 | 23% | ▲ 2 | 20¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | 34.5K |
| above 1520 | 23% | ▲ 1 | 21¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | 9.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Gemini, Google AI, Gemini Pro
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
$2.1Thigh with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.1T.
- Reaches $1.5T91%
- Reaches $1.75T69%
- Falls to $800B4%
- Falls to $700B4%
Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T
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27%December 31, 2028
- December 31, 20262%▲ 1
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- December 31, 202714%▲ 1
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.