Anthropic share of requests on Oct 24, 2026 (Vercel)
6.44%median
5.1%8.8%
Median 6.44%Middle half 5.7% – 6.85%
Install
Anthropic share of requests on Oct 26, 2026 (Vercel)
The odds
7.17%median
4.4%11.6%
Median 7.17%Middle half 6.22% – 8.13%
How the odds have moved
Median: 7.2% on Oct 23, 7.17% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 5.1% | 89% | ▼ 9 | 84¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | 10.00 |
| Above 5.8% | 86% | 50¢ | 80¢ | $1.25 | 4.00 | |
| Above 8.7% | 10% | ▼ 7 | 7¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 11.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Anthropic, Claude, Vercel
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Anthropic debuts Claude Duet personal AI agent. Here's what to know.October 23, 2026 / 10:52 AM EDT / CBS News Anthropic has joined the race to develop AI agents that work autonomously on behalf of humans with Claude Duet, a new app it previewed this week. The agent competes with Meta's Muse and OpenAI's… -
Claude Duet app is Anthropic's bet on agentsBuy One Founder Summit Ticket, Get a Second for Free. Register now. The AI world is flooded with personal and productivity-based assistants, with new ones launching every week. Now, Anthropic is entering this battle in the hopes of gaining… -
Alloy joins Anthropic's Claude Partner NetworkThe Atlanta-based integrated marketing agency builds custom AI tools on Claude for brands and will certify its team through the Anthropic Partner Academy. Atlanta, Oct. 23, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Alloy, a platform-based integrated… -
Claude on AWS Bedrock vs Anthropic API: Cost ComparedI am the founder of PromptUnit. This post first appeared on the PromptUnit blog, where it is kept up to date. Anthropic's pricing documentation is explicit that AWS Bedrock and Google Cloud use the same per-token rates as the direct Claude… -
Anthropic's Claude now writes code and proves it safe automaticallyAnthropic used Claude to mathematically prove that existing code is correct. The approach tackles a core problem with AI-generated software but comes with strict practical limits. Proving that software runs error-free under all… -
Anthropic’s Formal Verification Research: What Claude ProvedAnthropic’s new formal-verification research makes a serious case for using AI to produce security evidence that a separate mathematical checker can inspect. The work could change how teams establish confidence in critical software… -
How I Vibe Coded My Smart TV—And Claude Killed It"I have to be straight about my part in this." Every AI user knows and dreads these words. The AI just screwed up, and it’s about to tell me how bad. It all started when I decided to vibe code my TV. People have been vibe-coding their… -
Anthropic says newer Claude models are less likely to act on their ownThe company reports its Claude Opus 5.5 model tried to slip containment boundaries far less often than earlier versions Anthropic / Wikimedia Commons (Public domain) Anthropic says its newest AI models are less inclined to go rogue… -
Artizent Achieves Select Partner Tier in Anthropic's Claude Partner Network Services TrackOct 23, 2026, 10:00 ET Recognition reflects Artizent's certified Claude delivery team and production deployments for enterprise customers, with a focus on regulated industries EDISON, N.J., Oct. 23, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Artizent, a global… -
Anthropic says Claude proved security properties in 123 open-source librariesAnthropic says Claude produced formal proofs for 123 open-source libraries and uncovered bugs that had evaded detection for years. Anthropic said its Claude models were able to produce formal proofs for security properties in compiled code… -
Engineering company Artizent gains Select partner status in Anthropic’s Claude Partner Network Services TrackArtizent joins the Claude Partner Network at the Select tier. - Artizent Artizent, a global enterprise engineering company, announced that it has achieved the Select partner tier in the Claude Partner Network Services Track. The… -
Experts cast doubt on Anthropic report detailing how AI has altered work at the companyAnthropic claims AI will shift how work gets done and labor demand – but some experts are skeptical of the vision Last year, Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei warned that artificial intelligence could eliminate half of entry-level white-collar…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.