Amazonas Governor winner? (2026)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Oct 4, 2027 · $2K today · $10.8K traded · $4K at stake · prices read 22 min ago

The odds

96%Omar Aziz
  • Omar Aziz96%▲ 5
  • Professora Maria do Carmo5%▼ 5

How the odds have moved

Omar Aziz: 87% on Oct 20, 96% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 25, 6 PM ETOmar Aziz: 89% → 96%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Omar Aziz 96% ▲ 5 93¢ 98¢ $1.02 10.3K
Roberto Cidade 11% $9.09 2.6K
Professora Maria do Carmo 5% ▼ 5 2¢ 7¢ $14.29 7.2K
Gilberto Vasconcelos 1% $100.00 7.0K
Isael Munduruku 1% $100.00 6.5K
Cabo Daciolo 1% $100.00 12.4K
David Almeida 1% $100.00 6.2K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Amazonas Governor, Omar Aziz

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  • Brazil’s Senate Approves 40-Hour Workweek, Lula Backs Measure Without Salary CutsNewsCord · 10 days agoPublished 15 Oct 2026, 12:27 UTC Senate approved reducing the workweek from 44 to 40 hours without salary cuts. Two paid days off per week are guaranteed under the reform. Brazil’s Senate approved a constitutional amendment to reduce the…
  • Brazil Holds Six Governor Runoffs 25 OctoberThe Rio Times · 11 days agoBRAZIL · ELECTIONS 2026 · GOVERNOR RUNOFFS Rio de Janeiro will not vote again, because its electoral court confirmed Douglas Ruas of the conservative Liberal Party (PL) as the outright winner on 10 October. Governors run state police…
  • Flávio Bolsonaro’s allies set to lead seven Amazon states — MongabayUA.NEWS · 12 days agoUA.NEWS Flávio Bolsonaro’s allies set to lead seven Amazon states — Mongabay In Brazil, politicians who support far-right presidential candidate Flávio Bolsonaro may lead seven of the nine states in the Brazilian Amazon. This balance of…
  • Governors allied with Flávio Bolsonaro set to lead majority of Brazilian Amazon statesConservation news · 12 days agoSeven of Brazil’s nine Amazonian states are set to be governed by politicians aligned with far-right candidate Flávio Bolsonaro, Lucas Berti reported for Mongabay Brasil. On Oct. 25, Brazil will have an electoral face-off between the top…
  • Bolsonaro campaign bets on Michelle in effort to soften women’s rejectionvalorinternational · 12 days agoFormer first lady Michelle Bolsonaro (Liberal Party, PL) is expected to play a more active role in the campaign of presidential candidate Flávio Bolsonaro (PL of Rio de Janeiro) than she did in the first round. Her main objective is to…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions