Brazil Presidential Election
80%Flávio Bolsonaro
- Flávio Bolsonaro80%▲ 1
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva20%
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Will Alberta vote to secede from Canada?
The odds
5%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 5% on Oct 20, 5% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5% | 4¢ | 7¢ | $15.15 | 118.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Alberta, Canada
Search ›- Alberta delivers decisive vote to stay in CanadaSeparatist leaders vow to keep fighting after voters reject bid to hold binding referendum on independence Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney at a unity rally on Oct. 16 in Edmonton, Alberta. | AFP via Getty Images OTTAWA — Alberta voters…
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BBC Audio | Global News Podcast | Alberta rejects move towards Canada independenceGlobal News Podcast | Alberta rejects move towards Canada independence BBC Alberta rejects move towards Canada independence Available for 89 days Canada’s most oil and gas rich province, Alberta, has voted to reject a move towards holding… -
Video: LIVE: Canada PM Mark Carney speaks after Alberta voted to stay in CanadaAbout LiveTube Ltd. 🌍 🚀 Welcome to LiveTube! We believe in the power of real-time content. Our platform allows users to broadcast their stories to the world, unfiltered and in real-time. We're passionate about providing a space where… -
Forever Canadian Plans Permanent Office After Alberta ReferendumHome / News / Forever Canadian Plans Permanent Office After Alberta Referendum Forever Canadian will establish a permanent Edmonton office after Alberta’s October 19 referendum, Thomas Lukaszuk says, keeping the campaign organization ready… -
Alberta Rejects Move Toward Independence From Canada in Victory for CarneyIf you decline, your information won’t be tracked when you visit this website. A single cookie will be used in your browser to remember your preference. With more than 1.5 million votes counted, 76% supported remaining in Canada, while… -
Alberta rejects a move toward independence from Canada in a victory for CarneyThe Washington Post Voters in Alberta have overwhelmingly backed remaining in Canada, with four-fifths of votes counted showing 75% support for staying EDMONTON, Alberta — Voters in oil-rich Alberta province overwhelmingly backed remaining… -
Video: Carney hails Alberta's vote to remain as 'great result for Canada'About LiveTube Ltd. 🌍 🚀 Welcome to LiveTube! We believe in the power of real-time content. Our platform allows users to broadcast their stories to the world, unfiltered and in real-time. We're passionate about providing a space where… - Conrad Black: Alberta referendum should spur Canada to do betterIt was the best result we could have hoped for. Now's the time to put separatism behind us and realize our potential as a nation A number of American commentators, ignorant of Canadian politics, were watching the referendum with dreams of…
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Alberta's decisive decision to stay in Canada gives Carney backing to take on Trump"Let's move on": Albertans react to separatist movement referendum results "Vote like Canada depends on it," Prime Minister Mark Carney declared to cheering crowds in Calgary last week on a stage emblazoned with bright red and white… -
Alberta votes to remain part of CanadaAlberta residents voted to remain part of Canada in the province's first-ever referendum on separation, in a much-needed win for Prime Minister Mark Carney as he attempts to unify the country amid a trade war with the US. CBC News… -
Canada's Alberta rejects separation in referendum, but 'road to healing will be a long one'Alberta voters have decided against starting the process toward a binding referendum on separation from Canada, but their support for other questions on the Oct. 19 ballot could leave the province with deep divisions that need to be…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.