Brazil Presidential Election
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Which referendum questions will pass in Alberta? (2026)
The odds
99%Question 5
- Question 599%▲ 1
- Question 198%
- Question 298%
- Question 398%
- Question 497%▼ 1
- Question 740%
- Question 94%▼ 2
- Question 62%
- Question 82%
How the odds have moved
Question 5: 97% on Oct 20, 99% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Question 5 | 99% | ▲ 1 | 97¢ | $1.02 | 4.1K | |
| Question 1 | 98% | 96¢ | $1.02 | 472 | ||
| Question 2 | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | 427 | ||
| Question 3 | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | 2.00 | ||
| Question 4 | 97% | ▼ 1 | 95¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 602 |
| Question 7 | 40% | 12¢ | $8.33 | 2.9K | ||
| Question 9 | 4% | ▼ 2 | 7¢ | $14.29 | 3.6K | |
| Question 6 | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 | 960 | ||
| Question 8 | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 | 8.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Alberta
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Canada won’t see Alberta seceding anytime soon. But what to do with the people who wanted to leave?In the end, it wasn’t even close. Alberta’s preliminary referendum results were a definitive rejection of the idea that the province would be better off as an independent country. By a 3-to-1 margin, the province chose to remain in Canada… -
Alberta welcomed migrant workers. Now, it wants to restrict their rights‘Scapegoating non-permanent residents is not going to lower the cost of living,’ Vanesa Ortiz says When Vanesa Ortiz came to Calgary from Mexico, she found herself in a city gripped by winter. Outside the airport, it was -15C (5F). “I… -
Alberta’s New Political Status QuoWhile the decisive outcome of Alberta’s referendum has spared the province and the country the divisiveness of a closer call, the process that produced the 75%-25% result in favour of remaining in Canada still begs a consequential… -
Immigration remains contentious in Alberta following referendumThe Alberta referendum results last week have been celebrated across Canada as a victory for national unity over separatism. With more than three-quarters of voters rejecting a move towards independence, the outcome has also been hailed as… -
Alberta premier faces a separatist challenge inside her own partyDanielle Smith’s leadership could be at risk if she refuses to back their push for a secession strategy. “It is time to move forward to gather as a strong and free Alberta within a united Canada,” Alberta Premier Danielle Smith said… -
Alberta voted to stayEight months ago Dave Cournoyer told us the pro-Canada side in Alberta had no leader, no campaign, and no ground game. It became our most-listened-to episode ever. On Monday, the pro-Canada side won with a decisive margin, and we wanted to… -
A rural-urban divide for 'the 9' in Alberta referendumCBC A rural-urban divide for 'the 9' in Alberta referendum Elections Alberta is finalizing the count of referendum ballots, but so far, results suggest rural voters seem to hold different views on immigration and constitutional fights than… -
Path of Canada's Alberta Toward Autonomy Could Take Decades - ResidentWASHINGTON (Sputnik) - The Canadian province of Alberta needs to move toward greater autonomy, but the process could take decades and likely entail economic challenges, Priest Dmitriy Grigoriev, rector of the Russian All Saints Orthodox… -
Alberta Separatism: What did the referendum reveal?Now that Albertans have voted to stay in Canada, what comes next for Indigenous Peoples in the province? While there were ten questions on the ballot in the Oct. 19 referendum, the big one was a question about whether Alberta should start… -
Alberta referendum sparks renewed call to protect public health careThe Canadian Medical Association is calling on the federal government to uphold the Canada Health Act following Alberta's Oct. 19 referendum, saying voters have sent a message about protecting publicly funded health care. In a statement… - Alberta Referendum maps: See how Alberta, Edmonton and Calgary votedA look at a map showing the results of the Alberta referendum make clear that Option 2 was most popular in rural ridings, generally in the northwestern, central, and southern part of the province. A look at a map showing the results of the…
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Will the Alberta referendum feed a more polarized immigration debate?Referendums tend to raise as many questions as they answer. And so it may be for the 10-part questionnaire that Alberta Premier Danielle Smith put to her province — although with a series of no's Albertans have seemingly foreclosed on a…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions