Will the Onion Futures Act be repealed? (Before Jan 1, 2030)
28%Before Jan 1, 2030
- Before Jan 1, 20274%
- Before Jan 1, 202813%
- Before Jan 1, 202919%▲ 4
1 more
- Before Jan 1, 203028%
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When will independent AI safety audits become U.S. law?
The odds
38%Before Jan 1, 2028
- Before Jan 1, 20275%▲ 1
- Before Jul 1, 202724%
- Before Jan 1, 202838%
How the odds have moved
Before Jan 1, 2027: 5% on Oct 20, 5% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 5% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 3.0K |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 24% | 19¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | 458 | |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 38% | 35¢ | 40¢ | $2.50 | 1.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Mandatory
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‘Ridiculousness:’ Bar customer slapped with mandatory ‘late-night’ 20% gratuity fee — at 10 p.m.A bar customer is airing his outrage on Reddit over an auto gratuity. According to the offended imbiber, The Corner Pocket in Williamsburg, Virginia, charged him a 20% late-night gratuity for ordering drinks after 10 p.m. The Corner… -
Mandatory evacuations ordered for flood prone areas in southwestern ColoradoOctober 22, 2026 / 4:56 PM MDT / CBS Colorado Residents in low-lying and flood prone areas along the San Juan, Rio Blanco, Navajo, and Piedra Rivers are under a mandatory evacuation order. The Archuleta County Sheriff's Office and the Town… -
Mandatory penetrative assault injury report requirement unconstitutional: HCThe Times of India Prayagraj: Allahabad High Court has declared as âunconstitutionalâ a provision under Uttar Pradesh Rani Lakshmi Bai Mahila Evam Bal Samman Kosh Scheme, 2015, which makes an injury report indicating penetrative sexual… -
Airbnb drops mandatory checkout chores starting Nov. 20CHARLESTON, S.C. (WCSC) — Airbnb guests will no longer be required to complete checkout chores such as washing dishes, stripping beds, and taking out the trash. The short-term rental platform’s new rules limit hosts to “reasonable”… -
New York's Mandatory Storage Rule Officially Gets Even DumberWhen it comes to storing a firearm, I can be kind of a pain talking about the importance of securing your guns. What I'm not, though, is an advocate of mandatory storage laws in any way, shape, or form. It's not a hypocrisy on my part… -
Trump Mandatory Immigrant Detention Upheld by Full Fifth CircuitThe full Fifth Circuit again upheld the Trump administration’s policy of mandatory detention for noncitizens, saying in a split decision Friday that constitutional due process protections didn’t entitle three migrant men to bond hearings… -
Bismarck draft keeps mandatory jail for homeless camping, but only for certain campsitesA new draft of Bismarck’s prohibited camping ordinance released Thursday retains mandatory minimum jail sentences for repeat violations, but only when homeless camps pose a threat to public health or safety, create unsanitary conditions or… -
Eleventh Circuit Eliminates Mandatory Administrative Exhaustion Requirement for Statutory ERISA ClaimsIn Bolton v. Inland Fresh Seafood Corp. of America, Inc., No. 24-10084, the en banc U.S. Court of Appeals for the Eleventh Circuit overturned four decades of precedent requiring plaintiffs to exhaust administrative remedies before pursuing… -
Industry boss calls for mandatory tyre recycling lawsThe West Australian is a leading news source in Perth and WA. Breaking local and world news from sport and business to lifestyle and current affairs. -
Big Change in JEE Main 2027 Registration: Digilocker, MeriPechan, JanParichay Verification MandatoryBig Change in JEE Main 2027 Registration; Digilocker MeriPechan or JanParichay Verification Mandatory to Appply The NTA has started JEE Main 2027 registration process for session 1 exam. This year the registration process has undergone… -
WBO Rejects Denzel Bentley Appeal, Upholds Hernandez MandatoryDenzel Bentley‘s appeal has been denied, leaving the WBO middleweight champion under an order to face mandatory challenger Yoenli Hernandez before any other opponent. The organization’s October 22 notice also lifts the stay on proceedings… -
Microsoft cybersecurity training to become mandatory for its workersORLANDO -- Microsoft will make cybersecurity training mandatory for all its employees and plans to release its internal training tools in a version that customers can use themselves, perhaps within a year. The disclosure was made during a…
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All congress ›2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
9.5%median
-100%100%
Median 9.5%Middle half 7.12% – 11.64%
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
11%Thom Tillis
- Thom Tillis11%
- Kirsten Gillibrand9%▼ 1
- Andy Kim8%
12 more
- Jacky Rosen7%
- John Fetterman7%
- Catherine Cortez Masto7%
- Raphael Warnock7%
- Alex Padilla7%
- Mike Lee6%
- Mark Warner6%
- Josh Hawley6%
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Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
11%chance
Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell? (Through Nov 2027)
97%On Nov 16, 2026
- On Nov 16, 202697%▼ 3
- On Nov 22, 202771%▲ 1
- On Mar 15, 202770%▲ 2
1 more
- On Dec 14, 202660%
Speaker of the House after the midterms?
90%Hakeem Jeffries
- Hakeem Jeffries90%▲ 1
- Mike Johnson4%▲ 1
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- Pete Aguilar1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions