Gas prices in the US in Oct 2026?

Kalshi Finance › Commodities Closes Fri 11:59 PM ET · $16.7K today · $467K traded · $162K at stake · prices read 28 min ago

The odds

$4.26median

$2.40$5.10

Median $4.26Middle half $4.22 – $4.30

How the odds have moved

Median: $4.20 on Oct 20, $4.26 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Above 2.50	100%		99¢			11.7K
Above 2.60	100%		99¢			6.8K
Above 2.70	100%		99¢			8.6K
Above 2.80	100%		99¢			3.5K
Above 2.90	100%		99¢			8.3K
Above 3.00	100%		99¢			8.7K
Above 3.10	100%		99¢			6.9K
Above 3.20	100%		99¢			8.5K
Above 3.30	100%		99¢			16.2K
Above 3.40	100%		99¢			12.6K
Above 3.50	100%		99¢			25.3K
Above 3.60	100%		99¢			16.2K
Above 3.70	100%		99¢			15.1K
Above 3.80	100%		99¢			38.8K
Above 3.90	99%		98¢	99¢	$1.01	48.2K
Above 4.00	99%		98¢	99¢	$1.01	60.4K
Above 4.10	99%		98¢	99¢	$1.01	43.8K
Above 4.20	89%	▲ 2	88¢	89¢	$1.12	94.5K
Above 4.30	25%	▼ 10	24¢	26¢	$3.85	154.4K
Above 4.40	6%	▼ 3	5¢	6¢	$16.67	90.4K
Above 4.50	4%	▲ 1	3¢	4¢	$25.00	44.3K
Above 4.60	2%		1¢	2¢	$50.00	53.0K
Above 4.70	2%		1¢	2¢	$50.00	43.2K
Above 4.80	2%		1¢	2¢	$50.00	23.5K
Above 4.90	1%			1¢	$100.00	30.4K
Above 5.00	1%	▼ 1		1¢	$100.00	48.1K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: gas prices, gasoline

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Rising gas prices, cost of living weigh on voters ahead of midtermsCBS News · 6 h agoCBS News Miami is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WFOR-TV and channel 4, CBS News Miami offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Rising gas prices, cost…
Michigan gas prices climb overnight as drivers wait for reliefCBS News · 27 h agoOctober 24, 2026 / 12:13 AM EDT / CBS Detroit Michigan drivers are paying significantly more for gas than they did a year ago, with the statewide average at about $4.77 per gallon, according to AAA. That is up from about $3.10 per gallon…
Riverside County Gas Prices Drop For 22nd Straight DayMyNewsLA.com · 14 h agoThe average price of a gallon of self-serve regular gasoline in Riverside County dropped for the 22nd consecutive day Saturday, falling 2.3 cents to $5.903. The average price has dropped 42.6 cents over the past 22 days, including 2.7…
LA, Orange County Gas Prices Drop Another 3 Cents Per GallonMyNewsLA.com · 13 h agoThe average price of a gallon of self-serve regular gasoline in Los Angeles County dropped for the 22nd time in 23 days Saturday, falling 2.9 cents to $6.105. The average price has decreased 33.4 cents over the past 23 days, including 1.7…
Letter: Blame Dems for gas prices, inflationTelegraphHerald.com · 25 h agoI find it amusing to watch Democrats running for office and complaining about high prices. Inflation is driven by excess government spending and we are well aware how Democrats love to tax and spend. Letâs not forget when Democrats were…
Gasoline prices in Michigan jump over 20 cents in the last week, AAA saysCBS News · 20 h agoUpdated on: October 23, 2026 / 9:09 AM EDT / CBS Detroit Gasoline prices in Michigan jumped an average of 22 cents a gallon in a week, based on reports from AAA. AAA provides weekly trend reports and maintains a database showing day-to-day…
Issue at Exxon Mobil Joliet Refinery contributing to high Chicago area gas pricesCBS News · 43 h agoOctober 23, 2026 / 6:58 AM CDT / CBS Chicago An issue at the Exxon Mobil Joliet Refinery is contributing to the skyrocketing gas prices in the Chicago area. An Exxon Mobil spokesperson told CBS News Chicago that the refinery is "working to…
Issue at Joliet Refinery contributing to high Chicago area gas pricesCBS News · 43 h agoCBS News Chicago is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WBBM-TV and CBS2, CBS News Chicago offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Issue at Joliet Refinery…
Yuno Energy announces electricity and gas price freeze for winter monthsBreakingNews · 18 h agoYuno Energy has announced a price freeze for electricity and gas customers for the winter months. The bill pay service was set up two years ago and has 65,000 customer accounts. After recent price rises announced by key competitors, a…
Energy experts predict high gas prices will stick aroundWXII · 33 h agoOil prices surged to a five-month high following attacks on Saudi Arabian oil refineries and continued bottlenecks in the Strait of Hormuz this week. Experts warned that this could mean higher prices at the pump. Trump said relief is on…
Can presidents affect gas prices?Futurity · 37 h agoEconomists have long dismissed the public perception that presidents influence gas prices as economic illiteracy, but new research calls that assumption into question. The research finds significant differences in average gas prices across…
Levant corner store lowers gas prices to help community member fighting lung disease@WABI_TV5 · 33 h agoLEVANT, Maine (WABI) - A corner store in Levant is lowering gas prices to give back to the community. Levant Corner Store and Ye Olde General Store in Carmel are donating five cents for every gallon of regular gas sold to Eva Gould, a…

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Finance › Commodities

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?

$107.44high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $107.44.

Reaches $100>99%
Reaches $10571%

Falls to $9524%
Falls to $909%

Already reached: ↑ $90, ↑ $95, ↓ $90, ↓ $90, ↓ $90, ↑ $90

Finance › Commodities

US gas prices this week (Oct 26, 2026)

$4.29median

$4.08$4.52

Median $4.29Middle half $4.29 – $4.30

Finance › Commodities

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of October 19 2026?

$102.50high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $102.50.

Reaches $100>99%
Reaches $105<1%

Falls to $95<1%
Falls to $90<1%

Finance › Commodities

Texas gas prices in Oct 2026

3.75median

3.604.30

Median 3.75Middle half 3.67 – 4.06

Finance › Commodities

New Jersey gas price at year-end 2026

4.18median

3.605.10

Median 4.18Middle half 4.13 – 4.64

Finance › Commodities

What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit Week of October 19 2026?

$58.50high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $58.50 and as low as $53.50.

Reaches $58>99%
Reaches $59<1%

Falls to $57>99%
Falls to $56>99%

Already reached: ↑ $57

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onAAA

Trading closesOct 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET

Traded$467K (921,208 contracts)

Today$16.7K

This week$228K

At stake$162K

In the news19 headlines today, 473 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $2.50 on Oct 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Prices it is about

GasolineRB=F · tracks it3.1284+1.27%
United States Gasoline Fund LPUGA · tracks it144.92+1.78%

From 4Search Finance. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.