VA-02 House Election Winner
91%Elaine Luria (D)
- Elaine Luria (D)91%▲ 1
- Jen Kiggans (R)9%▲ 1
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VA-02 House winner? (2026)
The odds
90%Elaine Luria
- Elaine Luria90%
- Jen Kiggans9%
How the odds have moved
Elaine Luria: 89% on Oct 20, 90% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elaine Luria | 90% | 90¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | 125.4K | |
| Jen Kiggans | 9% | 9¢ | 10¢ | $10.10 | 144.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The same question on Polymarket
- VA-02 House winner? (2026)Elaine Luria (D)Kalshi 90%Polymarket 91%1 pts apart
Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.
The news: VA- House, Elaine Luria, Jen Kiggans
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MAGA Rep. Jen Kiggans (R-VA02) Being Funded by Elon Musk and One of the Top “DOGE Bros,” Antonio GraciasSo here’s the thing: not every sociopath, scumbag and/or criminal went to work for Elon Musk’s “DOGE,” but everyone who worked for “DOGE” is a sociopath, scumbag and/or criminal for sure. I mean, it’s hard to even know where to start when… -
Elaine Luria Launches “Republicans for Elaine” Coalition, Releases Digital Video with Former Jen Kiggans SupportersElaine Luria Launches Republicans for Elaine Coalition, Releases Digital Video with Former Kiggans Supporters Republicans for Elaine member: “I’m a Ronald Reagan Republican and I’ll be voting for a Democrat for the first time.” Luria’s new… -
DCCC Releases New TV Ad in VA-02: “Two Choices” – Jen Kiggans “runs fromer her job and votes with Trump 100% of the time”See below for a new ad from the DCCC, entitled “Two Choices,” and “highlighting how while Jen Kiggans runs from her job and votes with Trump 100% of the time, former Congresswoman Elaine Luria will always fight for Virginia. ” DCCC… -
Trump's House nightmare deepens as famed election guru pushes 19 more races towards DemocratsBy SAMANTHA LOREN, US POLITICAL REPORTER President Trump and his party are facing fresh warning signs ahead of the midterms as 19 more House races shift toward Democrats, with six competitive seats moving out of toss-up territory and into… -
Virginia's 7th District has been swung between both major parties historicallyOne of Virginia's congressional districts has a long history of supporting Republicans and Democrats. But the district is not expected to swing this year although it is the most expensive anywhere in the Commonwealth. Virginia's 7th… -
Where the candidates in three competitive Virginia US House races stand on the issuesIncumbent Republican representatives in Virginia’s 1st, 2nd, and 5th congressional districts are running in tight races against Democratic challengers. Congressional races in the 1st, 2nd and 5th congressional districts of Virginia this… -
These Democrats remind voters that war in Iran isn’t just about gas pricesThree Democrats from different parts of Virginia campaigned together Monday and invoked the war in Iran as a major election issue that goes beyond its effect on the price of gas. The unpopular war, which has roiled oil markets, has been a… -
Jon Stewart extends his ‘Daily Show’ gig through 2028Three Democrats from different parts of Virginia campaigned together Monday and invoked the war in Iran as a major election issue that goes beyond its effect on the price of gas. The unpopular war, which has roiled oil markets, has been a… -
Exclusive: Rep. Ryan Zinke’s SEAL PAC Releases Fierce Ad Comparing Socialist, Communist Dictators to Liberal DemocratsRep. Ryan Zinke (R-MT), who founded SEAL PAC, released a fierce ad that compares communist and socialist dictators to several liberal, Democrat lawmakers. Zinke warned that the United States faces “a war of ideologies” from communism and… -
How 3 Virginia races showcase the House battlegroundVirginia Republicans caught a break this spring when the state Supreme Court struck down a map drawn to help Democrats win 10 of the commonwealth’s 11 House seats. But Virginia remains instructive to the fight for the House majority, and a… -
DNC Targets Battleground Districts With August ‘Organizing Summer’ CampaignThe Democratic National Committee (DNC) unveiled a monthlong organizing campaign during Congress’s August recess to highlight opposition to the GOP’s One Big Beautiful Bill Act. Dubbed “Organizing Summer,” the effort, which was announced… -
New Poll by State Navigate, Which Nailed the 2025 VA Governor’s Race, Shows Dems “poised for their largest win in Virginia’s congressional elections in decades”A new poll of Virginia, by State Navigate (which nailed the 2025 Virginia governor’s, Lt. Governor’s and Attorney General’s races) is out this morning. Check it out here, and see below for highlights. In general, this is great news for…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.