Which party will win the U.S. House? (2026)
90%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party90%
- Republican Party10%
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TX-09 House winner? (2026)
The odds
78%Alex Mealer
- Alex Mealer78%▲ 1
- Leticia Gutierrez22%
How the odds have moved
Alex Mealer: 84% on Oct 20, 78% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Mealer | 78% | ▲ 1 | 78¢ | 79¢ | $1.27 | 47.8K |
| Leticia Gutierrez | 22% | 21¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | 17.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: TX- House, Alex Mealer, Leticia Gutierrez
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Hello Houston – The Commuter Cut (October 19, 2026)For our busy Houston commuters, we have – The Commuter Cut – a special 40-minute version of our show to listen to during your journey home. To embed this piece of audio in your site, please use this code: In today's edition of "The… -
Bernie Weighs in on Lt. Gov. Race as Far-Left Groups MobilizeDemocratic Socialist United States Senator Bernie Sanders threw his full support behind Texas Lieutenant Governor candidate Vikki Goodwin over the weekend, as far-left groups work to mobilize voters with early voting starting across Texas… - Hello Houston – The Commuter Cut (October 16, 2026)Houston Public Media To embed this piece of audio in your site, please use this code: In today’s edition of “The Commuter Cut,” the Houston Chronicle's Opinion and Community Engagement Editor, Evan Mintz, explains their endorsement process…
- What voters need to know in Brazoria County ahead of early votingEarly voting begins Oct. 19. Here's what voters need to know before heading to the polls in Brazoria County. Early voting will run from Oct. 19-30, 7 a.m.-7 p.m. The last day to apply for a ballot by mail (received, not postmarked) is Oct…
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How much money has Musk given to Republican groups since July? The quiz knowsHouston Public Media This week saw comings and goings at the White House, the revenge of a child (reality) star, and Elon Musk doing Elon Musk things. Meanwhile, the pope seems to be doing OK. If you've paid attention to all of those… -
Flock camera oversight (Oct. 16, 2026)Houston Public Media Houston Matters begins at 9 a.m. CT on 88.7FM. You can also listen online or watch live on YouTube. Join the discussion. Call or text 713-440-8870. Email [email protected] or tag us @HoustonMatters. On Friday’s… -
Republican Alex Mealer leads Leticia Gutierrez as her campaign scrubs Trump from websiteAlex Mealer, the Republican nominee for Texas' 9th Congressional District, leads Democrat nominee Leticia Gutierrez by six points in the latest poll, indicating a much tighter race than Republicans anticipated when redrawing the district’s… -
Texas Republicans gerrymandered CD-9. But a Democrat should win it.When Texas Republicans redrew Congressional District 9 — keeping only 3% of the once-reliable Democratic stronghold — they did it hoping to craft a slam-dunk win. They dragged the district’s tail east, toward the Houston Ship Channel’s… -
Hobby School Survey: Mealer Has Six-Point Lead in 9th Congressional District RaceDistrict is one of five that were redrawn ahead of the 2026 midterm elections Republican Alex Mealer is leading Democratic challenger Leticia Gutierrez by six points in the race for Texas’ 9th Congressional District, with support from 48%… -
Morning Digest: Republicans are sweating all five Texas seats they gerrymanderedAll five districts Republicans targeted when they gerrymandered Texas’ congressional map at Donald Trump’s behest last year nonetheless remain in play, including two seats that had once looked all but impossible for Democrats to hold. A… -
Democrats maintain leads in midterm races in Harris County, UH poll saysHOUSTON (CW39) — A new poll from the University of Houston shows that Democrats are holding leads in key races in Harris County and could play a major role in some state elections. In the race for Harris County Judge, Democratic nominee… -
The Engines of Our Ingenuity 1644: Hufeland on InfantsEpisode: 1644 An 18th-century doctor helps great-grandmother raise grandpa. Today, we raise a nineteenth-century child. Episode: 1644 An 18th-century doctor helps great-grandmother raise grandpa. Today, we raise a nineteenth-century child…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions