Which party will win the U.S. House? (2026)
91%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party91%▼ 1
- Republican Party9%▲ 1
Install
ME-02 House winner? (2026)
The odds
56%Paul LePage
- Paul LePage56%
- Matt Dunlap45%
How the odds have moved
Paul LePage: 63% on Oct 20, 56% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul LePage | 56% | 55¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | 91.2K | |
| Matt Dunlap | 45% | 44¢ | 45¢ | $2.22 | 129.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: ME- House, Paul LePage, Matt Dunlap
Search ›-
Paul LePage isn’t a full-time Maine resident. That should disqualify him from representing us in Congress.Sandra Caron of Orono is a retired professor and recipient of the 2019 Distinguished Maine Professor Award, and a 2023 Maine Women’s Hall of Fame inductee. My friends who live outside Maine always marvel at my literal close proximity to my… -
Podcast: Matt Dunlap on taking on LePage and standing up to TrumpWith Election Day approaching, Democrat Matt Dunlap is making his case for a different direction for Maine's 2nd Congressional District as he takes on former Republican Gov. Paul LePage. This week on the podcast, Dunlap shares his plans to… -
Gov Alia denied me house, annual medical checks – OrtomBenue South 2027: Nelson Alapa, Dave Idoko, Samuel Godday, others declare support for Abba Moro’s re-election ‘Alia has done more for Idoma land than our own sons in power’ — Okpokwu Ogenyi 2027: Idoma group endorses Alia for second term… - Matt Dunlap for Maine’s 2nd Congressional District | LetterDuring the “LePage years” in Augusta, I was president of the Maine Education Association, the union representing education employees. I learned quickly that Paul LePage depended on intimidation, name-calling, misrepresentation of the facts…
- Congressional candidate Matt Dunlap holds Lewiston town hallNewsBreak: Local News & Alerts Local news from Maine Congressional candidate Matt Dunlap holds Lewiston town hall YOU MAY ALSO LIKE Check Your Pantry: USDA Warns Against Eating A Canned Food Sold in 5 States Two varieties of Grace canned…
-
Paul LePage was 'Trump before Trump'. The real one is hurting his comeback.BREWER, Maine — The campaign for New England’s most Trump-friendly House district shouldn’t have been a heavy lift for former two-term Republican governor Paul LePage — the self-styled “Trump before Trump.” But stiff headwinds have come in… -
Dunlap, Michaud campaign in Bangor about LePage residency questionsBANGOR, Maine (WABI) - Democratic candidate for Congress Matt Dunlap held a press conference on Wednesday with former Maine congressman Mike Michaud. The focus was former governor Paul LePage’s residency in Florida that came up during a… - My Turn: As Maine goes, so does the nationEarly voting in Massachusetts started Oct. 17. As a citizen in Massachusetts, you can vote at the Town Hall now. But all of last week, I spent knocking on doors in Lewiston and Auburn, Maine, where early voting started Oct. 5 and goes…
-
The outcome of Maine’s US Senate race may not be known for weeks. Here’s why.The winner of Maine’s U.S. Senate seat might not be known for days or weeks after the Nov. 3 election. That’s because the odds favor a ranked-choice runoff. “We think there’s a huge likelihood that it’s going to happen,” Secretary of State… -
LePage casts ballot, calls election ‘most important for decades to come’AUGUSTA, Maine (WABI) - Former Gov. Paul LePage went to the polls Thursday and urged Mainers to do the same. The Second Congressional District Republican candidate and former governor spoke with the press after casting an absentee ballot… -
Heating oil costs test political loyalties in northern MaineCARIBOU, Maine — Republican Sen. Susan Collins was born in Caribou, and her family’s ties to this northern Maine community run deep. But as voters consider the races on this year’s ballot, another issue is weighing heavily: the high cost… -
A split vote could save the Maine sheriff that Janet Mills wouldn’t removeTwo years after Gov. Janet Mills declined to remove him from office and said Oxford County voters should decide his fate, Sheriff Christopher Wainwright is asking for a third term. The Republican sheriff, whose tenure has drawn multiple…
Related markets
All house ›MN-05 House winner?
94%Ilhan Omar
- Ilhan Omar94%▼ 1
- John Nagel5%
- DeVelle Jackson1%
TX-15 House winner? (2026)
87%Bobby Pulido
- Bobby Pulido87%
- Monica De La Cruz13%▲ 2
TX-09 House winner? (2026)
76%Alex Mealer
- Alex Mealer76%▼ 8
- Leticia Gutierrez25%▲ 8
NJ-02 House winner?
81%Jeff Van Drew
- Jeff Van Drew81%▲ 1
- Zack Mullock20%▼ 1
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Feb 1, 2027)
238.1median
207252
Median 238.1Middle half 230.3 – 246.3
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.