Which party will win the U.S. House? (2026)
91%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party91%▼ 1
- Republican Party9%
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CO-08 House winner? (2026)
The odds
85%Manny Rutinel
- Manny Rutinel85%
- Gabe Evans14%▼ 2
How the odds have moved
Manny Rutinel: 84% on Oct 20, 85% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manny Rutinel | 85% | 84¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | 17.8K | |
| Gabe Evans | 14% | ▼ 2 | 14¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 24.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CO- House, Manny Rutinel, Gabe Evans
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GOP Rep. Gabe Evans on running in competitive Colorado district, data center regulation and more"The Ratepayer Protection Act," aimed at preventing utility customers from absorbing the costs of data centers, overwhelmingly passed the House but failed to advance in the Senate by three votes. Republican Rep. Gabe Evans of Colorado, who… -
Where Gabe Evans, Manny Rutinel stand on the key issues in the 8th Congressional DistrictVoters in Colorado’s 8th Congressional District on Nov. 3 face a choice between U.S. Rep. Gabe Evans and former state Rep. Manny Rutinel in a race that could help decide which party controls Congress for the next two years. The tossup… -
Manny Rutinel leans hard into anti-Trumpism in 8th District race — while pivoting away from his activist pastEditor’s note: The Denver Post published stories examining the major-party candidates in the battleground race to represent the 8th Congressional District. Read the story about Republican U.S. Rep. Gabe Evans here. Manny Rutinel‘s campaign… -
Rep. Gabe Evans embraced much of Trump’s agenda. Now he’s running from an unpopular president’s long shadow.Editor’s note: The Denver Post published stories examining the major-party candidates in the battleground race to represent the 8th Congressional District. Read the story about Democrat Manny Rutinel here. As U.S. Rep. Gabe Evans stood… -
Colorado Dem Manny Rutinel Backs Obama Interior Secretary Who Curbed Oil Leases for President in 2028GREELEY, Colo.—Democrat Manny Rutinel, the former climate activist running in the Centennial State's competitive Eighth Congressional District as a supporter of the oil and gas industry, identified the man he hopes tops the Democratic… -
EXCLUSIVE: Campaign finance head for animal activist Colorado Dem Manny Rutinel wants to eliminate beef, poultry, pork industries"So they will take the houses the barns where you've got all the chickens. Clear that out and not you have an big space- an indoor space that you can convert to an indoor growing space." The deputy campaign finance director for Colorado… -
Colorado among six states that will have federal election monitorsOctober 22, 2026 / 10:19 PM MDT / CBS Colorado Colorado is one of six states that will have federal election monitors observing and taking notes on Election Day. The Department of Justice's Civil Rights Division will be sending monitors to… -
Which Democrats may challenge Republican Gabe Evans in Colorado’s 8th Congressional District come 2026?The 2024 battle in Colorado’s highly competitive 8th Congressional District just ended, which means the 2026 race has already begun. Caraveo is atop the list. She isn’t ruling out a 2026 bid in the district, which spans Denver’s northern… -
Colorado Dem Manny Rutinel Rakes in Campaign Cash From Employees of Far-Left Climate Group He Used To Work ForColorado Democrat Manny Rutinel, the congressional nominee running in the state's competitive Eighth Congressional District who has sought to distance himself from his climate activist past, has taken nearly $11,000 in political… -
2026 midterm elections: 21 key House races to followKamau Marshall, consultant and chief strategist speaks with LiveNOW's Ryan Schmelz on how the Democrats are looking to take back control of Congress. Control of the U.S. House will be on the line in November, with Republicans defending… -
During Greeley stop, Ken Salazar weighs in on CD-8 race, unityBefore a stop in Greeley on Wednesday, former U.S. Ambassador to Mexico and Secretary of the Interior Ken Salazar weighed in on Colorado’s high-stakes 8th Congressional District race and blasted recent rhetoric from President Donald Trump… -
Cook Report: Democrats flip House, 237 seat majority(The Center Square) - With slightly more than a week until the 2026 midterm elections, political analysts are projecting Democrats will flip as many as 22 seats to gain control of the U.S. House of Representatives. The Cook Political…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.