Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner
98%Josh Shapiro (D)
- Josh Shapiro (D)98%
- Stacy Garrity (R)2%
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Pennsylvania Governor winner? (2026)
The odds
97%Josh Shapiro
- Josh Shapiro97%
- Stacy Garrity3%
How the odds have moved
Josh Shapiro: 96% on Oct 20, 97% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Shapiro | 97% | 97¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 279.5K | |
| Stacy Garrity | 3% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $37.04 | 705.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The same question on Polymarket
- Pennsylvania Governor winner? (2026)Josh Shapiro (D)Kalshi 97%Polymarket 98%Agree
Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.
The news: Pennsylvania Governor, Josh Shapiro, Stacy Garrity
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Josh Shapiro maintains lead over Stacy Garrity in Pennsylvania gubernatorial race: pollWHP CBS 21 Harrisburg provides local news, weather, sports, community events and items of interest for Harrisburg Lancaster Lebanon York and nearby towns and communities in the greater Harrisburg area including, Hershey, Hummelstown… -
Gov. Josh Shapiro Kicks Off Bus Tour in Erie Before ElectionWith the general election less than two weeks away, Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro kicked off his campaign bus tour in Erie on Saturday morning, where he was greeted by dozens of supporters. Those who attended the kickoff rally said… -
Pennsylvania governor expected to sign school cellphone ban into lawCBS News Philadelphia is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KYW-TV and channel 3, CBS News Philadelphia offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting… -
What happened to the GOP’s high hopes for Pa. governor candidate Stacy Garrity?State Treasurer Stacy Garrity launched her bid for governor last year, immediately receiving the Republican Party’s blessing and praise from Republicans across the state who saw her as their best shot at the governor’s mansion. “This is a… -
‘She’s Gonna Lose So Badly It May Set a Record’: Pennsylvania’s Stacy Garrity Slammed After Defending AIRepublican Pennsylvania Treasurer and current gubernatorial candidate Stacy Garrity has sparked backlash after defending her use of AI in a recent political ad. Garrity was in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, where she talked about data centers… -
Josh Shapiro’s second-term push for PA governor: Key issues, background, pollingPENNSYLVANIA - With Election Day less than three weeks away, Gov. Josh Shapiro is asking Pennsylvania voters for a second term as he faces Republican state Treasurer Stacy Garrity on the Nov. 3 ballot. Shapiro, alongside Lt. Gov. Austin… -
Josh Shapiro Headed for Crushing Win in PennsylvaniaA new Franklin & Marshall College poll finds Josh Shapiro (D) leading Stacy Garrity (R) in the governor’s race, 59% to 36%. Governor’s Race Josh Shapiro (D) 59% Stacy Garrity (R) 36% Franklin & Marshall College poll · likely voters · ±4.1%… -
Stacy Garrity challenges Shapiro for PA Governor: Trump endorsement, key issues, backgroundPENNSYLVANIA - Stacy Garrity has won statewide twice as Pennsylvania’s treasurer. Now, in her first run for governor, she is trying to pull off a much bigger upset: unseating Democratic incumbent, Gov. Josh Shapiro. She has President… -
Exclusive – Rep. Scott Perry: Gov. Josh Shapiro Envisions Himself ‘Running for President,’ ‘That’s What He’s Gearing Up For’Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro (D) envisions himself “running for president,” Rep. Scott Perry (R-PA), up for reelection in Pennsylvania’s 10th Congressional District, said during an appearance on Breitbart News Daily. Perry spoke about… -
Shapiro and Garrity set for bruising Pennsylvania governor battlePennsylvania's race for governor this fall will pit Democratic Gov. Josh Shapiro against Republican state Treasurer Stacy Garrity in a contest that could shape national politics heading into 2028. Shapiro enters the matchup as a clear… -
Why Josh Shapiro put himself on the line for the midterms — but still won’t talk about 2028There’s been a noticeable shift in the first-term Democrat, as he's gone all-in to flip the state Senate and is more willing to directly challenge President Donald Trump. That's not by accident. Josh Shapiro knows you’re going to ask. He… -
Stacy Garrity defends AI campaign ad | Gov. Shapiro fires backPennsylvania Treasurer Stacy Garrity, Republican candidate for governor, discussed the economy and defended her use of AI in a campaign ad during a visit to Pittsburgh. Pennsylvania Treasurer Stacy Garrity, the Republican challenger to…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.