New Hampshire maple syrup production in 2027
148,269median
120,000180,000
Median 148,269Middle half 137,879 – 158,913
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US Industrial Production (Dec 2026)
The odds
1.08%median
-16.5%12.5%
Median 1.08%Middle half -0.77% – 2.13%
How the odds have moved
Median: 1.24% on Oct 20, 1.08% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on ForecastEx.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above -14.5% | 99% | $1.01 | 120 | |||
| Above -12.5% | 95% | $1.05 | 170 | |||
| Above -10.5% | 95% | $1.05 | 370 | |||
| Above -8.5% | 95% | $1.05 | 630 | |||
| Above -6.5% | 95% | $1.06 | 900 | |||
| Above -4.5% | 95% | $1.06 | 1.1K | |||
| Above -2.5% | 90% | $1.11 | 1.2K | |||
| Above 0.5% | 64% | $1.56 | 1.8K | |||
| Above 2.5% | 16% | $6.25 | 120 | |||
| Above 4.5% | 16% | $6.25 | ||||
| Above 6.5% | 7% | $14.29 | 50.00 | |||
| Above 8.5% | 6% | $16.67 | 80.00 | |||
| Above 10.5% | 2% | $50.00 | 80.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Industrial Production
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Eurozone industrial production falls for third consecutive month amid Middle East conflictHigher energy prices and global uncertainty are weighing on European manufacturing, despite continued optimism over future orders and investment. Eurozone industrial production fell by 0.5% in August compared with July, marking its third… - Manufacturing Output Improves as Broader Industrial Production RisesOur work is centered around four values that make our industry strong and America exceptional: free enterprise, competitiveness, individual liberty and equal opportunity. The men and women of the NAM’s Board of Directors are committed to…
- China Industrial Production (YoY) came in at 5.5%, above expectations (5.4%) in SeptemberAUD/USD attracts follow-through buyers for the second straight day on Monday, extending last week's recovery toward 0.7000 in Monday's Asian trading. Strong Chniese Q3 GDP and activity data for September strengthen the pair's advance…
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The Big Four Recession Indicators: Industrial ProductionOfficial recession calls are the responsibility of the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee, which is understandably vague about the specific indicators on which it bases its decisions. This committee statement is about as close as it gets… -
September industrial production comes in stronger than expectedCNBC September industrial production comes in stronger than expected -
September Industrial Production Rises More Than Forecast as Manufacturing ReboundsYahoo Finance Oops, something went wrong September Industrial Production Rises More Than Forecast as Manufacturing Rebounds US industrial production increased more than expected in September as manufacturing output rebounded despite… -
Industrial production increased 0.7% in SeptemberMining output grew 0.2% in September. The output of utilities rose 3.5% in September, with gains in the indexes for electric utilities and for natural gas utilities. Capacity use for manufacturing edged up 0.1 pp to 75.9% in September… -
China’s economy grows faster than forecast after AI boom boosted exportsThird-quarter GDP up by 4.5% compared with last year as industrial output is buoyed up by electronics demand Roaring exports lifted China’s economic growth in the third quarter of this year, with factory output growing much faster than… -
U.S. Industrial Production Climbs More Than Expected In SeptemberRTTNews A report released by the Federal Reserve on Friday showed industrial production in the U.S. increased by more than expected in the month of September. The Fed said industrial production climbed by 0.7 percent in September following… - U.S. Industrial Production Tops Forecasts in September; Manufacturing IP ReboundsHaver Analytics U.S. Industrial Production Tops Forecasts in September; Manufacturing IP Rebounds - September IP +0.7% (+2.2% y/y), sixth consecutive m/m increase; on an upward trend. - Manufacturing +0.3% (+1.1% y/y), seventh rise in…
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Roaring exports lift China’s economic growth; violent French protests put pressure on euro, stocks and bonds – business liveWorld’s second-largest economy on track to meet Beijing’s 2026 growth target, though consumer spending lags behind factory output Here’s our full story: France was hit by a fresh wave of selling in its bond and stock markets on Monday… - US Industrial Production Surpasses Forecasts, Lifting Dollar OutlookUS industrial production rose 0.7%, beating the 0.4% forecast and improving from 0.1% previously, a bullish signal for the US dollar and the economic outlook. Industrial production in the United States rose more than expected in the latest…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.