US recession by end of 2026?
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Raleigh-Durham International Airport passengers in 2026
The odds
15.9median
15.317
Median 15.9Middle half 15.8 – 16.0
How the odds have moved
Median: 15.8 on Oct 20, 15.9 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 15.50 million | 95% | 94¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 17.9K | |
| Above 15.75 million | 83% | 82¢ | 83¢ | $1.20 | 15.6K | |
| Above 16.00 million | 13% | 12¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 14.1K | |
| Above 16.25 million | 8% | 7¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 23.0K | |
| Above 16.50 million | 5% | 4¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 19.3K | |
| Above 16.75 million | 4% | 3¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 3.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Raleigh-Durham International Airport
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Air Canada cancels YVR route to popular U.S. party destinationAir Canada has cancelled a notable flight from Vancouver International Airport (YVR) to a popular U.S. destination for partiers and country music fans. The direct flight from YVR to Nashville, scheduled to return in May 2027 with four… - Woman Killed on I-40 Near RDU, Durham Police InvestigateA woman is dead after being hit by multiple vehicles on eastbound I-40 near Raleigh-Durham International Airport, shutting down a mile-long stretch of the interstate in Durham. Police responded to a report of a pedestrian struck near Davis…
- Air Canada Cancelling More U.S. RoutesAir Canada is cutting more transborder routes for its northern summer 2027 schedule. The Canadian flag-carrier will axe five more routes to the United States while adding three others as it shifts capacity and responds to higher operating…
- Breeze Airways starts three new flights at RSW in Fort Myers this weekIt's a busy week for Breeze Airways at Southwest Florida International Airport (RSW) and another sign that snowbird and tourist season is officially underway. Breeze is offering three direct flights that start this week at the Fort Myers…
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RDU loses another nonstop flight to Canada amid pullback in cross-border travelFor the second time this year a Canadian airline has determined that nonstop flights between the Triangle and western Canada don’t make financial sense. Air Canada ended its seasonal nonstops to Vancouver, British Columbia, a couple of… -
$2.5bn RDU Airport Transformation Plan Prepares for Future Gate Expansion in North CarolinaPublished on Oct 20, 2026 RDU Airport transformation plan is advancing $2.5 billion construction to modernize Raleigh-Durham International Airport in North Carolina and prepare for future gate expansion. The 10-year capital program… -
Former Durham County resident self-deports on one-way RDU flight to EuropeA former Durham County man whose U.S. citizenship was revoked after a naturalization fraud conviction left the country this month on a one-way flight from Raleigh-Durham International Airport, according to the U.S. Attorney’s Office for… -
PTI joins airport list pausing TSA PreCheck program after launch, avid flyers left shockedGREENSBORO, N.C. — A program that allowed people without boarding passes to walk loved ones to their gates at Piedmont Triad International (PTI) Airport has been suspended just weeks after it launched—leaving many Triad travelers wondering… - Six people hurt in crash involving airport shuttle bus in CaryWRAL A crash on Monday sent six people to the hospital and closed a portion of Airport Boulevard near Raleigh-Durham International Airport. Sky 5 flew over the intersection of Airport Blvd and Aerial Center Parkway and saw several…
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Large piece of metal debris possibly from aircraft found outside church preschool in Barrington HillsStaff at a church preschool found a piece of metal debris possibly from an aircraft outside their building during morning checks in Barrington Hills Monday, prompting an FAA investigation, police said. The Barrington Hills Police… - Chapel Hill | Motohiro Tsuchiya, Vice-President / Professor, Graduate School of Media and GovernanceI would be happy if I could visit a new city every year. Even though I am in charge of international affairs, I feel like I visit the same places every year. I want to go to a new city somewhere. This year, I was able to visit Chapel Hill…
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Book bedbugs, forever chemicals and a Mexico flight: Today’s top N&O stories‘Forever chemicals’ in NC rivers: A new Environment America report found PFAS in 25 of 29 North Carolina waterways tested, with 19 showing concentrations above the federal 4 parts per trillion drinking-water limit. Reid Wilson, secretary…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions