US Retail Sales of Building Material and Garden Eq. and Supplies Dealers (Dec 2026)

ForecastEx Economy › Growth & recession Closes Jan 14, 2027 · $2K traded · $2K at stake · prices read 8 min ago

The odds

43,519median
36,00044,400
Median 43,519Middle half 43,265 – 43,762

How the odds have moved

Median: 43,467 on Oct 20, 43,519 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on ForecastEx.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Above 36,800 81% $1.23
Above 37,600 81% $1.23 40.00
Above 38,400 81% $1.23 100
Above 39,200 81% $1.23 170
Above 40,000 81% $1.23 60.00
Above 40,800 81% $1.23 740
Above 41,600 81% $1.23 600
Above 42,400 81% $1.23 390
Above 43,200 81% $1.23 90.00
Above 43,600 42% $2.38 50.00
Above 44,000 <1%

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news

No recent headlines name this market's subject.

Related markets

All growth & recession ›

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.