Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
84,308median
79,00093,000
Median 84,308Middle half 83,660 – 84,776
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US Payroll Employment (Oct 2026)
The odds
48%Above 10,000%
0K120K
How the odds have moved
Above 10,000%: 48% on Oct 20, 48% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on ForecastEx.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 10,000% | 48% | $2.07 | ||||
| Above 20,000% | 48% | $2.07 | 125 | |||
| Above 30,000% | 48% | $2.07 | 16.3K | |||
| Above 40,000% | 48% | $2.07 | 432 | |||
| Above 50,000% | 48% | $2.07 | 125 | |||
| Above 60,000% | 48% | $2.07 | 125 | |||
| Above 70,000% | 48% | $2.07 | 429 | |||
| Above 80,000% | 45% | $2.22 | 25.00 | |||
| Above 90,000% | 40% | $2.50 | 727 | |||
| Above 100,000% | 34% | $2.94 | 112 | |||
| Above 110,000% | <1% |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: jobs report, unemployment, payrolls
Search ›-
Three ways a sync job reports success while reading nothingI keep a weekly job that copies tasks from ClickUp into my own dashboard. It is a small Python wrapper around a CLI that reaches an integration platform, and it publishes a report with the lists and tasks it found. On October 19 it… -
White Sox assistant general manager Josh Barfield is a candidate for Astros' open GM job: reportReport: White Sox assistant general manager Josh Barfield is a candidate for Astros' open GM job Chicago Sun-Times Why are we asking for donations? White Sox assistant general manager Josh Barfield is a candidate for Astros' open GM job… - UK Payrolled Employment and Pay Data Released for October 2026HM Revenue and Customs and the Office for National Statistics have issued their monthly estimates of payrolled employees and their pay, drawing on Pay As You Earn Real Time Information data, according to the Office for National Statistics…
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Map Shows States Where Unemployment Is Growing Two Weeks Before MidtermOct 21, 2026 at 05:32 PM EDT Oct 21, 2026 at 06:20 PM EDT New unemployment data released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) this week shows that unemployment rates have increased in seven states over the past year. The report arrives… -
UK Payroll Employment Rises 13K in SeptemberThe number of payrolled employees in the UK increased by 13 thousand, or 0.04%, to 30.3 million in September 2026, after a revised 1 thousand rise in the previous month. This was the largest monthly increase since August 2025. Compared… -
Montana unemployment rate drops to 3.1%President Trump delivers remarks at a midterm rally in Pendleton, South Carolina. The latest jobs report shows Montana's unemployment rate fell again in September. The state rate is now 3.1%, which is below the 4.2% national rate. Numbers… -
HR Path Expands Australia And New Zealand Payroll Capabilities With Payroll Experts Australia AcquisitionHR Path has acquired Payroll Experts Australia, expanding the global HR consulting and HR information systems company’s payroll compliance, remediation, workforce management, and HR systems capabilities across Australia and New Zealand… -
Katie Zacharia was sitting down for a 'Wall Street Journal' interview when she learned President Donald Trump had fired her five days into the press secretary job, reports sayKatie Zacharia was reportedly being interviewed by The Wall Street Journal in her West Wing office when she learned she was losing her job as White House press secretary, ending a tenure that lasted just five days. According to the… - Illinois Construction Employment Adds 14,300 Jobs Over the Year Despite September Payroll DeclineGift a Payroll Tax Calendar to your payroll admins this holiday season. → Illinois’ construction sector continued to expand in September, adding 14,300 jobs compared with the same month last year, even as overall state payroll employment…
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Wyoming unemployment rate unchanged at 3% in September 2026CHEYENNE – The Research and Planning section of the Wyoming Department of Workforce Services reported Wednesday that the state’s seasonally adjusted unemployment rate remained unchanged from August to September at 3%. Wyoming’s… -
Afore Unemployment Withdrawals Reach Record MX$36.41 BillionAfore unemployment withdrawals in Mexico reached a record MX$36.41 billion in 2026, prompting regulatory reforms to protect account balances. Join our expert contributor program During the first three quarters of 2026, 1.66 million workers… -
Idaho’s September unemployment rate remains at 3.6%Idaho’s seasonally adjusted unemployment rate was unchanged between August and September, staying at 3.6%. September’s labor force decreased by 508 (-0.1%) people to 997,822 while the labor force participation rate – the percentage of…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.