Average Wall Street bonus in 2026
$282,917median
$175,000$375,000
Median $282,917Middle half $261,161 – $304,891
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Pennsylvania annual-average manufacturing employment in 2026
The odds
556,731median
540,000575,000
Median 556,731Middle half 554,432 – 558,654
How the odds have moved
Median: 555,592 on Oct 20, 556,731 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 545,000 jobs | 97% | 96¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 26.1K | |
| Above 550,000 jobs | 95% | 94¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 34.9K | |
| Above 555,000 jobs | 73% | 72¢ | 73¢ | $1.37 | 71.3K | |
| Above 560,000 jobs | 8% | 7¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 33.5K | |
| Above 565,000 jobs | 6% | 5¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 14.2K | |
| Above 570,000 jobs | 5% | 4¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 2.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Pennsylvania
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Pennsylvania will require labels on AI-generated adsOn Thursday, Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro signed the Artificial Intelligence Deceptive Advertising Act into law, requiring disclosures on AI-generated ads. The law requires any ad - whether it's a still image, video, audio, or text… -
Pennsylvania to require disclosures on AI-generated adsCBS News Philadelphia is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KYW-TV and channel 3, CBS News Philadelphia offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting… -
911 dispatchers classified as first responders under new Pennsylvania lawOctober 24, 2026 / 1:56 PM EDT / CBS Pittsburgh Under a new Pennsylvania law, 911 dispatchers are now classified as first responders, just like firefighters or police. The bill passed both chambers unanimously and was signed by Gov. Josh… -
Pennsylvania high school football scores for October 23, 2026October 23, 2026 / 10:06 PM EDT / CBS/AP Friday night football in Pennsylvania is back for another week. As the postseason slowly approaches, there are plenty of must-see Pennsylvania Interscholastic Athletic Association games, including a… -
Pennsylvania voter explains his shift from liberal to conservativePennsylvania voter James Shafer explains why he went from a liberal Democrat to a conservative Republican on ‘America Reports.’ ... Pennsylvania voter explains his shift from liberal to conservative Pennsylvania voter James Shafer explains… -
Allegheny County becomes first in Pennsylvania to adopt paid parental leave policyOctober 24, 2026 / 12:06 PM EDT / CBS Pittsburgh On Tuesday, Allegheny County made history as the first county in Pennsylvania to adopt paid parental leave for workers. In an 11-4 vote, Allegheny County Council passed the plan, which was… -
2 spas were fronts for prostitution in Pennsylvania, officials sayOctober 23, 2026 / 6:21 PM EDT / CBS Pittsburgh Two spas in Lancaster County, Pennsylvania, were fronts for prostitution, and the woman who owned them has been charged, officials said. The Pennsylvania Office of Attorney General said in a… -
Deer illegally killed at Pennsylvania elementary school, Game Commission saysDecember 3, 2025 / 5:53 PM EST / CBS Pittsburgh A white-tailed deer was illegally killed in Northampton County over the weekend, the Pennsylvania Game Commission said. The Game Commission's Operation Game Thief said in a Facebook post on… -
Poverty simulation gives Pennsylvania participants glimpse of life on tight budgetCBS News Philadelphia is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KYW-TV and channel 3, CBS News Philadelphia offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Poverty… -
Working-class voters could play key role in Pennsylvania House racesPennsylvania voter James Shafer discusses how inflation, rising gas prices and the economy are affecting working-class voters ahead of the 2026 midterm elections on ‘America Reports.’ ... Working-class voters could play key role in… -
Beloved Pennsylvania high school football coach dies after mid-game medical emergency in tragedyEd Dawson, a Pennsylvania high school football coach, died Friday night mid-game after suffering a medical emergency, according to reports. Cornell High School superintendent Dr. Aaron Thomas said Dawson was transported from Rochester High… -
Pennsylvania law requires delivery robots to yield to pedestrians, yet protester still faced arrestUnion workers, rideshare drivers and other protesters rallied against a D.C. proposal that would allow commercial robotaxis, warning autonomous vehicles could eliminate driving jobs. (Credit: Nicholas Ballasy for Fox News Digital) Most…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.