October Unemployment Rate
4.19%median
3.75%4.65%
Median 4.19%Middle half 4.12% – 4.25%
Install
Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
The odds
84,333median
79,00093,000
Median 84,333Middle half 83,635 – 84,871
How the odds have moved
Median: 84,489 on Oct 20, 84,333 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 80,000 jobs | 98% | 97¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 896 | |
| Above 81,000 jobs | 97% | 96¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 35.5K | |
| Above 82,000 jobs | 96% | 95¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 78.7K | |
| Above 83,000 jobs | 92% | 91¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | 80.4K | |
| Above 84,000 jobs | 66% | 65¢ | 66¢ | $1.52 | 66.6K | |
| Above 85,000 jobs | 19% | 18¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | 59.3K | |
| Above 86,000 jobs | 9% | 8¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 75.6K | |
| Above 87,000 jobs | 8% | 7¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 92.4K | |
| Above 88,000 jobs | 7% | 6¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 14.3K | |
| Above 89,000 jobs | 6% | 5¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 54.1K | |
| Above 90,000 jobs | 5% | 4¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 70.6K | |
| Above 91,000 jobs | 4% | 3¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 10.3K | |
| Above 92,000 jobs | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 281 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Washington
Search ›-
Get unlimited access toThe Washington PostBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. In today’s edition …… -
Bulls fall short to Washington Wizards in home openerOctober 24, 2026 / 10:00 PM CDT / AP Trae Young had 25 points and nine assists, and the Washington Wizards held off the Chicago Bulls for a 124-120 victory on Saturday night. Kyshawn George had 22 points and nine rebounds for Washington in… -
Peta releases video showing experiments on infant monkeys at University of WashingtonFootage released by the animal-rights group Peta reveals, for the first time, filmed experiments at the University of Washington’s National Primate Research Center (WaNPRC), in which newborn monkeys were separated from their mothers and… -
For Turnstile, Washington Monument show was a moment, and a homecomingThe Washington Post Organizers estimated that the show on the National Mall drew around 60,000 people. About 24 hours before he stepped onto the open-air stage to a screaming sea of punks, under one of the nation’s most post-carded… -
Fall-O-Ween family outing held in Washington ParkCBS News Bay Area Evening Edition Weekend 5pm CBS News Detroit Weekend 6pm CBS News New York CBS News Philadelphia 7:30pm KDKA News at 7 CBS13 News Weekend 5pm CBS News Texas Saturday 5pm -
Dylan Riley, Boise State pull away late to beat Washington StateRiley scored on runs of 33 and 72 yards for the Broncos (6-1, 3-0 Pac-12), who have won six straight after a season-opening loss on the road to Oregon. Boise State became bowl eligible and pulled even with Oregon State for first in the… - Mike Washington makes 21-yard dash through Rams defendersLas Vegas Raiders running back Mike Washington made a 21-yard dash through Los Angeles Rams defenders. The Green Bay Packers move the chains on fourth-and-2 with a 22-yard pass from quarterback Jordan Love to tight end Tucker Kraft. Green…
-
Ex-NYPD cop charged in George Washington Bridge road rage killing free on $1M bailThe retired NYPD narcotics detective accused of gunning down a driver in a horrifying road rage incident on the George Washington Bridge last week is out of jail after posting $1 million bail. Victor Romero, 62, posted the seven-figure sum… -
The Good, The Bad, The Ugly From Chicago's Home Opener Vs. WashingtonJoin the Chicago Bulls Roundtable for more free coverage of the six-time NBA Champions. The Chicago Bulls dropped their home opener Saturday night, falling 124-120 to the Washington Wizards. Despite a strong start and a late fourth-quarter… -
Cuba spent decades recruiting American spies. Now Washington is turning the tables on HavanaPresident Donald Trump speaks in Fort Myers, Florida, about taking care of Cuba as Secretary of State Marco Rubio urges Cuban dissidents to partner with the CIA. Cuba’s government has spent decades recruiting Americans to betray their… -
GAME THREAD: Washington State welcomes No. 21 Boise State for HomecomingYahoo Sports - GAME THREAD: Washington State welcomes No. 21 Boise State for Homecoming Boise State's biggest defensive weakness could be exposed by Washington State's new quarterback How to watch Washington State vs. No. 21 Boise State… -
Boise State gets three wide receivers back for Washington State gameBoise State was down three of its top wide receivers and seven players overall during its 38-31 road win over rival Fresno State on Oct. 10. Following a much-needed bye week, the 21st-ranked Broncos (5-1, 2-0 Pac-12) are significantly…
Related markets
All jobs ›UK retail sales in October (October 2026)
0.28%median
-2%2.5%
Median 0.28%Middle half -0.38% – 1.02%
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
5%5.0%
4.5%13%
US retail jobs added this holiday season (September–December 2026)
433,333median
250,000650,000
Median 433,333
US Leading Economic Index change in October (October 2026)
-0.12%median
-0.5%0.4%
Median -0.12%Middle half -0.3% – 0.05%
Mexico unemployment rate in October (Mexico UE Oct 2026)
2.72%median
2.5%3.5%
Median 2.72%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions