Toronto Mayoral Election Winner
83%Olivia Chow
- Olivia Chow83%▲ 6
- Brad Bradford17%▼ 6
- Ana Bailão<1%
5 more
- Michael Ford<1%
- Anthony Furey<1%
- Marco Mendicino<1%
- John Tory<1%
- Kevin Clarke<1%
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Texas Attorney General Election Winner
The odds
74%Mayes Middleton (R)
- Mayes Middleton (R)74%
- Nathan Johnson (D)25%
How the odds have moved
Mayes Middleton (R): 73% on Oct 20, 74% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mayes Middleton (R) | 74% | 73¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | $3K | |
| Nathan Johnson (D) | 25% | 24¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | $2.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Texas Attorney General
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Texas barbecue restaurant blames "rogue employee" for allowing Paxton eventOct 26, 2026 at 12:56 PM EDT A BBQ restaurant in Texas has apologized for holding an election event hosted by Republican Senate candidate Ken Paxton, saying it had not been informed in advance. Cooper's Old Time Pit Bar-B-Que in New… -
Spurned by Trump, these outgoing Republicans aren’t helping their potential successorsThey were snubbed on their way out of office. Their revenge is indifference. Sen. John Cornyn (R-Texas) departs a Senate Republican Conference luncheon at the U.S. Capitol on Aug. 5, 2026. | Francis Chung/POLITICO 10/26/2026 4:45 AM EDT… - Why Trump can’t stop talking about the ‘ass’ of a male senatorIt’s not that interesting that President Donald Trump told a story about a male senator’s “ass.” What’s interesting is that he keeps on doing it. Perhaps it’s more fun to talk about glutes than gas prices. Anyone who has been paying much…
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Members of the Bush family throw support behind James TalaricoWASHINGTON (TNND) — Two prominent members of the Bush family are throwing their support behind Texas Democratic Senate candidate James Talarico over Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton. Former President George W. Bush’s daughter Barbara Bush… -
‘Just apocalyptic’: Small donor shocker spells trouble for GOP ahead of midtermsTexas Attorney General and Republican US Senate candidate Ken Paxton speaks at a midterm election rally in San Antonio, Texas, US October 18, 2026. REUTERS/Joel Angel Juarez Republican candidates heading into next week’s midterms drew less… -
John Barrasso heads to Texas to stump for PaxtonBarrasso was one of outgoing Sen. Mitch McConnell's, R-Ky., "three Johns," along with Senate Majority Leader John Thune and ousted Sen. John Cornyn, R-Texas, whom Paxton defeated in the primary. Sen. John Barrasso, R-Wyo., the Republican… -
Paxton and Ramaswamy Are Betting on Trump, Not TrustTwo Republican figures are getting attention for all the wrong reasons. Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton and entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy may be able to argue that they offer sharper policy instincts than many of their rivals. But in… -
James Carville Has A Big Post-Midterms Forecast — And Trump Isn't Going To Like ItThe midterms will shape our future. HuffPost holds power accountable. Become a member to keep independent journalism strong. The longtime Democratic strategist laid out what he thinks will occur “if Republicans have the kind of Election… -
Harris County prepared to fight attempts to undermine electionPolls show U.S. Senate nominee Ken Paxton may become the first Republican candidate to lose a statewide election in Texas in more than 30 years, leading advocates to worry that Paxton and President Donald Trump could leverage federal… -
Trump prosecutor goes to war with ‘60 Minutes’ over Texas dad deported to AfricaA top federal prosecutor in Texas lashed out at CBS News’ “60 Minutes” over its report on the deportation of a Texas father who had lived in the United States for 25 years, accusing the program of “fake news” and telling those in the… -
Why is Texas so important? It’s about Senate control – and symbolismThe close Senate race between Democrat James Talarico and Republican Ken Paxton in Texas has unsettled conservatives used to three decades of statewide political dominance. Lined up outside an event center in Fort Bend County, a few… -
Why aren’t Texas Democrats talking about abortion?In a deeply personal 60-second ad aired in September ahead of the state’s midterm elections, Texas Democratic gubernatorial candidate Gina Hinojosa shares her tragic pregnancy loss story. More than two decades ago she and her husband were…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions