NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion (2026)

Polymarket Sports › F1 & racing Closes Nov 21 · $1.3K today · $25.5K traded · $5.6K at stake · prices read 22 min ago

The odds

43%Jesse Love
  • Jesse Love43%▼ 1
  • Justin Allgaier39%▼ 7
  • Carson Kvapil4%
  • Sheldon Creed4%
  • Austin Hill3%▲ 3
  • Corey Day3%▼ 3
  • Sam Mayer2%
  • Taylor Gray2%▼ 1
  • Rajah Caruth1%▼ 2
  • Brandon Jones1%▼ 3
  • Parker Retzlaff1%▼ 2
  • Sammy Smith<1%▼ 1

How the odds have moved

Jesse Love: 47% on Oct 20, 43% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 23, 11 PM ETJesse Love: 47% → 40%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

  2. Oct 21, 8 PM ETJesse Love: 58% → 34%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Jesse Love 43% ▼ 1 43¢ 46¢ $2.19 $3.1K
Justin Allgaier 39% ▼ 7 39¢ 43¢ $2.33 $11.7K
Carson Kvapil 4% 1¢ 7¢ $14.29 $1.9K
Sheldon Creed 4% 0¢ 8¢ $13.33 $6.7K
Austin Hill 3% ▲ 3 1¢ 6¢ $16.39 $193
Corey Day 3% ▼ 3 0¢ 6¢ $15.63 $665
Sam Mayer 2% 1¢ 5¢ $20.83 $240
Taylor Gray 2% ▼ 1 1¢ 4¢ $25.00 $193
Rajah Caruth 1% ▼ 2 0¢ 2¢ $43.48 $202
Brandon Jones 1% ▼ 3 0¢ 2¢ $66.67 $170
Parker Retzlaff 1% ▼ 2 0¢ 1¢ $71.43 $255
Sammy Smith <1% ▼ 1 0¢ 0¢ $127
William Sawalich <1% ▼ 48 1¢ $100.00
Brent Crews <1% ▼ 3 92¢ $1.09
Ryan Sieg <1% ▼ 48 1¢ $100.00
Anthony Alfredo <1% ▼ 48 1¢ $100.00
Brennan Poole <1% ▼ 48 1¢ $100.00
Dean Thompson <1% ▼ 4 90¢ $1.11
Jeremy Clements <1% ▼ 48 1¢ $100.00
Harrison Burton <1% ▼ 48 1¢ $100.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Kalshi

NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion

41%Justin Allgaier
  • Justin Allgaier41%▲ 9
  • Jesse Love40%▼ 1
  • Corey Day4%▼ 23
  • Carson Kvapil3%▼ 3
36 more
  • Sheldon Creed2%
  • Sam Mayer1%
  • Austin Hill1%
  • Taylor Gray1%
  • Garrett Smithley<1%
  • Ryan Ellis<1%
  • Luke Fenhaus<1%
  • Josh Bilicki<1%
  • Sammy Smith<1%
  • William Sawalich<1%
  • Giovanni Ruggiero<1%
  • Brandon Jones<1%
  • Harrison Burton<1%
  • Nicholas Sanchez<1%
  • Dean Thompson<1%
  • Jeb Burton<1%
  • Kyle Sieg<1%
  • Cody Ware<1%
  • Blaine Perkins<1%
  • Ross Chastain<1%
  • Joey Gase<1%
  • Ryan Sieg<1%
  • Nick Leitz<1%
  • Brennan Poole<1%
  • Lavar Scott<1%
  • Patrick Staropoli<1%
  • Jeremy Clements<1%
  • Chad Finchum<1%
  • Austin Green<1%
  • Rajah Caruth<1%
  • Mason Maggio<1%
  • Josh Williams<1%
  • Anthony Alfredo<1%
  • Parker Retzlaff<1%
  • Dawson Cram<1%
  • Brent Crews<1%
KalshiCloses Nov 9 · $786 today · $40.7K traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts, Jesse Love, Justin Allgaier

Search ›

No recent headlines name this market's subject.

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions