2027 Men's College Basketball National Champion

Polymarket Sports › College basketball Closes Apr 19, 2027 · $2.5K today · $39.3K traded · $8.6K at stake · prices read 13 min ago

The odds

26%Virginia
  • Virginia26%▲ 19
  • Iowa24%▲ 19
  • Kentucky24%▲ 17
  • Oklahoma State23%
  • Providence23%▲ 21
  • UCLA22%▲ 16
  • Duke22%▼ 2
  • Creighton20%▲ 2
  • Florida18%▼ 1
  • Nebraska17%▲ 12
  • Oregon16%▲ 10
  • Illinois12%
33 more
  • Kansas8%▲ 2
  • Louisville8%▼ 1
  • Ohio State7%▲ 1
  • Arkansas6%▲ 1
  • Tennessee6%
  • Gonzaga5%
  • Vanderbilt5%
  • Indiana5%
  • USC5%
  • UConn5%
  • St. John's5%
  • Texas5%
  • West Virginia5%
  • Texas Tech4%▲ 1
  • Arizona4%▲ 1
  • Miami4%
  • Texas A&M4%
  • Georgia4%
  • Michigan State4%
  • Missouri4%
  • VCU3%
  • Michigan3%
  • Oklahoma3%
  • Alabama3%
  • North Carolina3%
  • Iowa State3%
  • Houston3%
  • BYU3%
  • Wisconsin2%
  • Villanova1%▲ 1
  • Purdue1%
  • Saint Louis1%
  • TCU<1%

How the odds have moved

Virginia: 7% on Oct 26, 26% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 27, 8 AM ETVirginia: 11% → 26%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Virginia 26% ▲ 19 1¢ 50¢ $2.01 $1.3K
Iowa 24% ▲ 19 0¢ 49¢ $2.05 $42
Kentucky 24% ▲ 17 1¢ 46¢ $2.17 $27
Oklahoma State 23% 47¢ $2.14 $20
Providence 23% ▲ 21 0¢ 46¢ $2.18 $85
UCLA 22% ▲ 16 0¢ 44¢ $2.27 $27
Duke 22% ▼ 2 15¢ 28¢ $3.57 $2K
Creighton 20% ▲ 2 40¢ $2.51 $5
Florida 18% ▼ 1 14¢ 22¢ $4.55 $7K
Nebraska 17% ▲ 12 0¢ 34¢ $2.97 $115
Oregon 16% ▲ 10 0¢ 31¢ $3.23 $32
Illinois 12% 7¢ 16¢ $6.25 $6.3K
Kansas 8% ▲ 2 1¢ 15¢ $6.62 $1.5K
Louisville 8% ▼ 1 4¢ 12¢ $8.62 $7.5K
Ohio State 7% ▲ 1 14¢ $7.35 $520
Arkansas 6% ▲ 1 3¢ 10¢ $10.00 $27
Tennessee 6% 0¢ 11¢ $8.93 $88
Gonzaga 5% 1¢ 10¢ $10.00 $35
Vanderbilt 5% 0¢ 10¢ $10.00 $53
Indiana 5% 0¢ 10¢ $10.10 $20
USC 5% 10¢ $10.10 $5
UConn 5% 2¢ 8¢ $12.35 $554
St. John's 5% 1¢ 8¢ $12.50 $194
Texas 5% 2¢ 8¢ $13.33 $1K
West Virginia 5% 9¢ $11.11 $1.5K
Texas Tech 4% ▲ 1 1¢ 7¢ $14.29 $27
Arizona 4% ▲ 1 2¢ 6¢ $15.63 $2.3K
Miami 4% 0¢ 8¢ $12.82 $222
Texas A&M 4% 8¢ $12.66 $5
Georgia 4% 8¢ $13.16 $346
Michigan State 4% 1¢ 6¢ $16.95 $182
Missouri 4% 0¢ 7¢ $14.49 $63
VCU 3% 0¢ 7¢ $14.71 $179
Michigan 3% 0¢ 7¢ $15.38 $368
Oklahoma 3% 7¢ $14.93 $250
Alabama 3% 0¢ 6¢ $16.13 $400
North Carolina 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.41 $837
Iowa State 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 $141
Houston 3% 2¢ 4¢ $25.64 $320
BYU 3% 0¢ 5¢ $19.61 $68
Wisconsin 2% 0¢ 4¢ $27.78 $1.2K
Villanova 1% ▲ 1 0¢ 3¢ $40.00 $1.4K
Purdue 1% 0¢ 2¢ $43.48 $364
Saint Louis 1% 0¢ 2¢ $52.63 $729
TCU <1% 0¢ $25

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Kalshi

Men's 2027 College Basketball Champion

14%Duke
  • Duke14%
  • Florida12%
  • UConn6%
  • Illinois5%
69 more
  • Texas4%
  • Michigan St.3%
  • Louisville3%
  • Texas Tech3%
  • Arizona3%
  • Arkansas3%
  • Houston3%
  • Kansas3%
  • St. John's3%
  • Virginia2%
  • Tennessee2%
  • Gonzaga2%
  • Baylor2%▼ 1
  • Michigan2%
  • Kentucky1%
  • Alabama1%
  • Miami (FL)1%
  • UCLA1%
  • USC1%
  • Indiana1%
  • Iowa St.1%
  • Vanderbilt1%
  • North Carolina1%
  • Missouri1%
  • LSU1%
  • Purdue1%
  • Villanova1%
  • Texas A&M1%
  • Nebraska1%
  • Florida St.1%
  • BYU1%
  • Iowa<1%
  • Auburn<1%
  • Marquette<1%
  • Providence<1%
  • Cincinnati<1%
  • Ohio St.<1%
  • VCU<1%
  • Clemson<1%
  • Syracuse<1%
  • NC St.<1%
  • Wisconsin<1%
  • Oklahoma<1%
  • Creighton<1%
  • Xavier<1%
  • SMU<1%
  • Virginia Tech<1%
  • Oregon<1%
  • San Diego St.<1%
  • Ole Miss<1%
  • Saint Mary's<1%
  • Butler<1%
  • Georgetown<1%
  • Seton Hall<1%
  • Memphis<1%
  • Richmond<1%
  • St. Bonaventure<1%
  • Dayton<1%
  • Loyola Chicago<1%
  • Stanford<1%
KalshiCloses Apr 27, 2027 · $4.4K today · $376K traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: Men's College Basketball National

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions