What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

Polymarket Finance › IPOs & deals Closes Dec 31, 2027 · $8.8K today · $505K traded · $38.8K at stake · prices read 8 min ago

The odds

$1.52Tmedian
$750B$2.75T
Median $1.52TMiddle half $985.32B – $1.83T

How the odds have moved

Median: $1.57T on Oct 20, $1.52T now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
<$1T 27% ▲ 2 27¢ 30¢ $3.39 $90.2K
$1.0T–$1.25T 7% ▼ 1 6¢ 8¢ $12.35 $55.8K
$1.25T–$1.5T 15% ▼ 2 14¢ 18¢ $5.52 $81.8K
$1.5T–$1.75T 20% ▲ 1 20¢ 22¢ $4.46 $57.5K
$1.75T–$2.0T 21% ▲ 9 21¢ 23¢ $4.35 $95.2K
$2.0T–$2.25T 3% ▼ 2 1¢ 6¢ $18.18 $5.7K
$2.25T–$2.5T 4% ▼ 1 3¢ 6¢ $16.39 $30.8K
$2.5T+ 4% 0¢ 8¢ $12.20 $88K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: OpenAI, ChatGPT, OpenAI's IPO

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  • UK commits £100M to AI biosecurity lab with OpenAI, Anthropic, DeepMindCrypto Briefing · 2 days agoEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered…
  • OpenAI trims valuation target to $1.25 trillion after investor resistanceCrypto Briefing · 3 days agoEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered…
  • Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton sues ChatGPT-maker OpenAI@kbtxnews · 2 days agoTEXAS (The Texas Tribune) - Attorney General Ken Paxton is suing OpenAI, the maker of ChatGPT, for allegedly deceiving and harming Texans. This is the latest in a flurry of lawsuits filed against Big Tech companies and private corporations…
  • Will the Anthropic and OpenAI IPOs follow SpaceX in upending the underwriting market?The Globe and Mail · 6 days agoShould Anthropic and OpenAI insist on most of their shares being allocated to buy-and-hold investors and are aggressive in negotiating a low gross spread, the profitability of the IPO business for the major underwriters will be under…
  • Sweden's Government Offices Block ChatGPT and Claude, Keep Microsoft CopilotDecrypt · 38 h agoSweden's Government Offices—the administrative body supporting the prime minister and cabinet—will block ChatGPT and Claude on staff computers from Monday, directing civil servants to Microsoft's Copilot as the only approved AI tool…
  • Texas AG Ken Paxton sues OpenAI over ChatGPT safety claimsHouston Chronicle · 2 days agoTexas Attorney General Ken Paxton is suing technology company OpenAI for allegedly failing to protect Texans from the harms of using ChatGPT. Paxton speaks during a news conference with U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright in Houston on…
  • OpenAI Opens ChatGPT Advertising to Nigerian BusinessesProduct Reviews · 4 days agoThe rollout introduces conversational monetization to one of Africa’s most vibrant digital economies, granting local organizations direct access to a rapidly expanding user base that relies on generative AI for daily productivity…
  • Fired OpenAI researchers say independent safety audits aren't going wellNPR · 2 days agoIn their first interview since being fired, OpenAI safety researchers Mikita Balesni and Tomek Korbak say they were terminated for prioritizing safety over the short-term interests of the company. Fired OpenAI researchers say independent…
  • Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton sues OpenAI and Sam Altman over ChatGPT safety claimsCrypto Briefing · 2 days agoThe Collin County lawsuit alleges OpenAI misled users about ChatGPT's risks and failed to protect children from harm OpenAI / Wikimedia Commons (Public domain) Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton has sued OpenAI and its CEO Sam Altman. He…
  • Texas becomes the latest state to sue OpenAI.The Verge · 3 days agoSimilar to the lawsuits filed by Arizona, West Virginia, Iowa, and several others, Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton accuses OpenAI of misleading users about the safety of ChatGPT, allegedly exposing children and other users to a “litany…
  • OpenAI takes ChatGPT models to Google Cloudthehansindia.com · 4 days agoOpenAI is expanding its cloud reach with Google, giving businesses more flexibility while Microsoft remains its primary cloud partner. OpenAI is making its artificial intelligence models widely available by bringing ChatGPT technology to…
  • Uber rolls out OpenAI’s ChatGPT Work to all 30,000 global employeesAdgully · 3 days agoUber has rolled out ChatGPT Work, OpenAI’s enterprise AI agent, to its global workforce of more than 30,000 employees. The companies announced the expansion on October 22, following a pilot with 1,000 employees. It is Uber’s first…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions