Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
Oct 26, 7 PM ETMatthew Shoemaker: 64% → 48%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
Matthew Shoemaker
48%
▼ 21
3¢
92¢
$1.09
$5.6K
Joel Rowswell
21%
7¢
34¢
$2.94
$4.3K
Josh McNally
<1%
0¢
0¢
$577
Selva Rasaiah
<1%
0¢
$517
Matthew Toffelmire
<1%
0¢
$603
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Sault Ste. Marie, Mayoral, Matthew Shoemaker
RACE FOR MAYOR: In the SooToday studio with Matthew ShoemakerSooToday.com · 2 days agoOn Oct. 26, the people of Sault Ste. Marie will elect a new city council — including a mayor who will lead our community for the next four years. Five candidates are vying for the top job: Josh McNally, Selva Rasaiah, Joel Rowswell…
McCarthy On City Relationship With CeaseFire: What The Mayor Says GoesCBS News · 6 h agoJune 28, 2012 / 6:10 PM CDT / CBS Chicago CHICAGO (CBS) – Chicago's top cop suggests he's on board with the mayor's plan to have CeaseFire operatives try to help defuse violence in the city. On Thursday, McCarthy said there was no friction…
Graham Stephan presses LA mayoral hopeful over public drug use, police staffingFox News · 4 h agoGraham Stephan pressed Nithya Raman over public drug use and LAPD staffing. The Los Angeles Police Protective League criticized her position, citing her previous vote against hiring 170 additional recruits. Graham Stephan presses LA…
Chicago alders hold first in series of hearings on Mayor Brandon Johnson's budget planCBS News · 9 h agoCBS News Chicago is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WBBM-TV and CBS2, CBS News Chicago offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Chicago alders hold first…
London Mayor Sadiq Khan urges UK to go pro-business ahead of budgetCNBC · 16 h agoMonday - Friday, 08:00 - 11:00 CET | 14:00 - 17:00 HK/SIN Sadiq Khan, Mayor of London, discusses the pedestrianisation of Oxford Street and what he wants to see ahead of the U.K. budget on Oct. 28. London Mayor Sadiq Khan urges UK to go…
Top mayoral aides launch defense of Mayor Johnson's tax-heavy $17.6B budgetChicago Sun-Times · 4 h agoMayor Brandon Johnson presides over a City Council meeting at City Hall Oct. 14. Top mayoral aides on Monday began their defense of Mayor Brandon Johnson’s tax-heavy $17.6 billion budget and acknowledged that they have no Plan B if, as…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions