Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
Oct 26, 5 PM ETRob Burton: 39% → 52%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
Rob Burton
52%
▼ 2
37¢
67¢
$1.49
$7.7K
Jeff Knoll
36%
▲ 19
9¢
64¢
$1.57
$1.7K
Julia Hanna
36%
▲ 19
29¢
42¢
$2.38
$1.1K
Arvind Choudhary
22%
▲ 13
3¢
41¢
$2.43
$341
Sean O'Meara
4%
1¢
6¢
$16.67
$794
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
London Mayor Sadiq Khan urges UK to go pro-business ahead of budgetCNBC · 16 h agoMonday - Friday, 08:00 - 11:00 CET | 14:00 - 17:00 HK/SIN Sadiq Khan, Mayor of London, discusses the pedestrianisation of Oxford Street and what he wants to see ahead of the U.K. budget on Oct. 28. London Mayor Sadiq Khan urges UK to go…
A-listers pledge their allegiance in LA’s mayoral race: ‘Right person for the job’California Post · 25 h agoHollywood stars are urging Angelenos to re-elect Mayor Karen Bass as early voting got underway over the weekend. The endorsements come in a race that has turned into a multimillion-dollar fight, with unions, wealthy donors and police…
Cumbria public consultation on new elected Mayor endsNews and Star · 13 h agoA PUBLIC consultation into the future of Cumbria’s democratic makeup has ended. The consultation was launched to gather the views of Cumbrians over the plans to have a directly elected mayor of the county. Cumbria could be set for a…
Mayor Mamdani Joins CNN's Source With CollinsMirage News · 17 h agoCollins: And I know during the campaign you wanted to double the city's funding for public housing. Right now, it's about $1.2 billion annually. The executive budget you have calls for $5.6 billion over five years. Do you still plan…
Ontario Heads to the Polls Amid Tight Toronto Mayoral RaceThe Epoch Times · 10 h agoMunicipal election day has arrived in Ontario, giving residents province-wide the chance to cast their votes for the local leaders who will represent their communities. Chow just finished serving her first term as the city’s mayor after…
Lanka Dinakar campaigns for NDA Mayoral candidate in AnantapurThe Hindu · 11 h agoPublished - October 26, 2026 07:43 pm IST - ANANTAPUR Implementation of Twenty Points Programme (Viksit Bharat–Swarna Andhra Pradesh) chairman Lanka Dinakar on Monday (October 26, 2026) said that the primary objective of the NDA government…
New Yorkers Aren’t Afraid of a Democratic Socialist MayorThe Nation · 11 h agoAndrew Cuomo’s allies spent a fortune shouting that Zohran Mamdani is a socialist. Result? A Mamdani landslide in the Democratic primary. Zohran Mamdani attends the 2025 New York City Pride March on June 29, 2025. Mamdani’s sweeping…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions