New York Attorney General winner? (2026)
94%Letitia James
- Letitia James94%▲ 4
- Saritha Komatireddy6%▼ 4
Install
Next Mayor of Cape Town?
The odds
95%Geordin Hill-Lewis
- Geordin Hill-Lewis95%
- Roger Solomons1%
- Ernest Theron1%
- Khalid Sayed1%
- Nontando Nolutshungu1%▼ 1
- Mareldia Chowglay1%
- Lwazi Pakade1%
- Zelda Tarntaal1%
- Brett Herron<1%
- Cheslyn Steenberg<1%
- Ellen Pakkies<1%
- Ndithini Tyhido<1%
4 more
- Luvuyo Zondani<1%
- Jeremiah Thuynsma<1%
- Fiona Abrahams<1%
- Dereleen James<1%
How the odds have moved
Geordin Hill-Lewis: 96% on Oct 20, 95% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geordin Hill-Lewis | 95% | 95¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | $6.7K | |
| Roger Solomons | 1% | 0¢ | 3¢ | $37.04 | $408 | |
| Ernest Theron | 1% | 0¢ | 3¢ | $40.00 | $426 | |
| Khalid Sayed | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | $52.63 | $376 | |
| Nontando Nolutshungu | 1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | 2¢ | $55.56 | $326 |
| Mareldia Chowglay | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $100.00 | $270 | |
| Lwazi Pakade | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $100.00 | $270 | |
| Zelda Tarntaal | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $100.00 | $265 | |
| Brett Herron | <1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $318 | ||
| Cheslyn Steenberg | <1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $300 | ||
| Ellen Pakkies | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $515 | ||
| Ndithini Tyhido | <1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $316 | ||
| Luvuyo Zondani | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $265 | ||
| Jeremiah Thuynsma | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $271 | ||
| Fiona Abrahams | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $311 | ||
| Dereleen James | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $288 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Mayor of Cape Town, Geordin Hill-Lewis, Roger Solomons
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions