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NCAA Football: CFB Playoff Top 4 Seeds
The odds
- Miami (FL)67%
- Notre Dame62%▼ 1
- Georgia57%▲ 2
- Ohio St.56%▼ 3
- Indiana41%▲ 9
- Texas20%
- Tennessee18%
- BYU17%▼ 1
- Kansas St.16%▲ 1
- Ole Miss16%▲ 3
- Houston15%▼ 10
- Texas Tech14%▼ 1
38 more
- Florida13%▼ 8
- Utah13%▼ 8
- Alabama12%▲ 1
- LSU12%▼ 1
- Penn St.10%▲ 1
- USC8%
- Oklahoma7%▲ 5
- Arizona7%
- SMU6%▲ 3
- Oregon6%
- Arizona St.6%▲ 2
- Arkansas6%▼ 1
- Missouri4%
- Oklahoma St.4%▼ 5
- Virginia Tech4%
- Clemson4%▼ 1
- Pittsburgh4%
- Auburn4%
- Tulane4%▲ 1
- South Carolina4%
- Baylor4%
- California4%▲ 1
- James Madison4%
- Louisville4%▼ 2
- Vanderbilt4%▼ 1
- TCU3%
- Kentucky3%
- Iowa3%
- Georgia Tech3%
- North Carolina St.3%
- Virginia3%
- North Texas3%
- Florida St.3%
- Illinois3%
- Miami (OH)3%
- Michigan2%
- Texas A&M2%
- Washington2%
How the odds have moved
Miami (FL): 55% on Oct 20, 67% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 23, 11 PM ETMiami (FL): 66% → 61%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami (FL) | 67% | 66¢ | 68¢ | $1.47 | $4.4K | |
| Notre Dame | 62% | ▼ 1 | 61¢ | 62¢ | $1.61 | $5.5K |
| Georgia | 57% | ▲ 2 | 56¢ | 59¢ | $1.69 | $1.1K |
| Ohio St. | 56% | ▼ 3 | 50¢ | 61¢ | $1.64 | $2.6K |
| Indiana | 41% | ▲ 9 | 28¢ | 54¢ | $1.85 | $5.5K |
| Texas | 20% | 11¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | $2.9K | |
| Tennessee | 18% | 11¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | $331 | |
| BYU | 17% | ▼ 1 | 10¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | $770 |
| Kansas St. | 16% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 30¢ | $3.36 | $800 |
| Ole Miss | 16% | ▲ 3 | 11¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | $1.2K |
| Houston | 15% | ▼ 10 | 0¢ | 29¢ | $3.42 | $240 |
| Texas Tech | 14% | ▼ 1 | 10¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | $7.6K |
| Florida | 13% | ▼ 8 | 2¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | $461 |
| Utah | 13% | ▼ 8 | 1¢ | 25¢ | $3.97 | $554 |
| Alabama | 12% | ▲ 1 | 3¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | $349 |
| LSU | 12% | ▼ 1 | 6¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | $5.7K |
| Penn St. | 10% | ▲ 1 | 7¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | $730 |
| USC | 8% | 6¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | $592 | |
| Oklahoma | 7% | ▲ 5 | 4¢ | 11¢ | $8.93 | $467 |
| Arizona | 7% | 3¢ | 10¢ | $9.62 | $40 | |
| SMU | 6% | ▲ 3 | 4¢ | 9¢ | $11.63 | $430 |
| Oregon | 6% | 5¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | $1.4K | |
| Arizona St. | 6% | ▲ 2 | 3¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | $105 |
| Arkansas | 6% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.20 | $40 |
| Missouri | 4% | 2¢ | 7¢ | $15.15 | $170 | |
| Oklahoma St. | 4% | ▼ 5 | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.71 | $751 |
| Virginia Tech | 4% | 2¢ | 7¢ | $15.15 | $90 | |
| Clemson | 4% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 6¢ | $15.87 | $230 |
| Pittsburgh | 4% | 3¢ | 6¢ | $17.54 | $1.1K | |
| Auburn | 4% | 2¢ | 6¢ | $16.13 | $120 | |
| Tulane | 4% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 6¢ | $16.95 | $540 |
| South Carolina | 4% | 3¢ | 5¢ | $21.74 | $220 | |
| Baylor | 4% | 2¢ | 6¢ | $17.86 | $580 | |
| California | 4% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 6¢ | $16.39 | $400 |
| James Madison | 4% | 3¢ | 5¢ | $20.41 | $800 | |
| Louisville | 4% | ▼ 2 | 2¢ | 6¢ | $18.18 | $1.5K |
| Vanderbilt | 4% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 5¢ | $18.52 | $594 |
| TCU | 3% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $17.54 | $182 | |
| Kentucky | 3% | 0¢ | 6¢ | $16.13 | $80 | |
| Iowa | 3% | 1¢ | 6¢ | $17.54 | $250 | |
| Georgia Tech | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $19.23 | $420 | |
| North Carolina St. | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $19.23 | $800 | |
| Virginia | 3% | 0¢ | 6¢ | $17.54 | $150 | |
| North Texas | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $19.23 | $1.1K | |
| Florida St. | 3% | 0¢ | 5¢ | $19.23 | $420 | |
| Illinois | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $21.28 | $270 | |
| Miami (OH) | 3% | 0¢ | 5¢ | $19.23 | $360 | |
| Michigan | 2% | 2¢ | 2¢ | $45.45 | $407 | |
| Texas A&M | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | $5.8K | |
| Washington | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $43.48 | $700 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CFB Playoff Top Seeds, NCAA Football, Notre Dame
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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