Modi out by June 30, 2027?
11%chance
Install
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
The odds
4%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 4% on Oct 20, 4% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 4% | 4¢ | 4¢ | $25.64 | $428K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Modi
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She was harassed for crude remarks about Modi at a Cockroach protest. Now she can’t leave homeAfter a protest clip went viral, a teenager’s life was torn apart by threats that sent her and her family into hiding. Plus, a book on citizen journalism Before 24 July, a person I will call R was preoccupied with the ordinary routines of… -
Modi’s Power, India’s Democratic TestMounting protests, youth unemployment and concerns over minority rights and electoral integrity are testing the limits of Hindu nationalist politics. For younger voters, the gap between economic aspirations and lived experience can weaken… -
Kharge questions Modi, Shah over Manipur killings, demands accountabilityCongress president Mallikarjun Kharge on Wednesday questioned Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Union Home Minister Amit Shah over the continued violence in Manipur, asking how many more civilian lives must be lost before the government… -
In Modi’s India, only ‘good’ OCIs are welcomePune: Schaeffler India CEO arrested months after carbon dioxide leak killed two workers As winter comes, a drought-hit district in Maharashtra fears the worst ‘Impinges on freedom’: Former Delhi HC Justice S Muralidhar on CJP leaders’… -
Modi’s Former Loyalist From South Slams CentreArticle by Kumar Published on: 8:44 pm, 21 October 2026 Tamil Nadu former BJP Chief and former IPS officer Annamalai was once a hard-core BJP activist and Modi and Shah’s follower. But things have changed over the due course. Annamalai… -
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PM Modi holds talks with Polish PM Donald TuskPrime Minister Narendra Modi on Thursday held bilateral talks with his Polish counterpart Donald Tusk at Hyderabad House in New Delhi to review India-Poland relations and explore avenues for strengthening cooperation across key sectors… -
This carnival of protest on the streets of Delhi has shaken Narendra Modi like nothing beforeThe singing, dancing and sheer joy in the face of police brutality at the protests led by the Cockroach Janta party show people no longer fear India’s regime People in India have been conditioned to believe in an idea of intense slow-burn… -
Opinion | PM Modi’s Eastern European Gambit Is Paying OffWhen Narendra Modi landed in Warsaw on August 21, 2024, he became the first Indian prime minister to visit Poland in 45 years. Morarji Desai had made the previous trip in June 1979, when Poland was still a communist state inside the Soviet… -
New Delhi: PM Modi Polish PM Donald Tusk Meeting – #GalleryNew Delhi: Prime Minister Narendra Modi during a meeting with his Polish counterpart Donald Tusk at Hyderabad House in New Delhi on Thursday, October 22, 2026. (Photo: IANS/X/@PremierRP) New Delhi: Prime Minister Narendra Modi during… -
India-EU FTA broadens India-Poland partnership opportunities: PM ModiHighlighting the historical bonds between the two countries, PM Modi said that India-Poland friendship was rooted in a shared heritage of humanity and empathy, going beyond diplomatic relations. "The friendship between India and Poland is… -
PM Modi To Visit Varanasi, Kedarnath On October 24-25Prime Minister Narendra Modi will undertake a two-day visit to Varanasi and Kedarnath on October 24-25, with industrial, public and development-related engagements likely to feature on his itinerary. According to the proposed schedule, the… -
Poland PM Tusk Visits India, Meets Modi to Deepen TiesPolish PM Donald Tusk begins a three-day visit to India, meeting PM Modi to strengthen strategic partnership, discuss trade, defence, and global issues.
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.