Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
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Rahul Gandhi arrested by...?
The odds
33%December 31
- October 315%
- December 3133%▲ 1
How the odds have moved
October 31: 15% on Oct 20, 5% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 21, 7 PM ETOctober 31: 14% → 8%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 31 | 5% | 1¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | $2.1K | |
| December 31 | 33% | ▲ 1 | 31¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | $4.4K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Rahul Gandhi
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KTR targets Rahul Gandhi over silence on Telangana corruptionBRS working president KT Rama Rao launched a sharp attack on Congress leader Rahul Gandhi and the Telangana government, alleging corruption, unfulfilled poll promises and misgovernance. Addressing party workers after a minority leader… -
Rahul Gandhi thanks BJP for ‘promoting’ INDIA Bloc’s ‘vote chori’ rallyRahul Gandhi sarcastically thanks the BJP for promoting the INDIA bloc’s 1 November ‘Vote Chori’ rally against alleged electoral irregularities The BJP opposes the rally’s timing, citing sensitivities surrounding the 1984 anti-Sikh riots… -
Rahul Gandhi to visit Punjab's Sangrur on Nov 4: Pargat SinghChandigarh, Oct 25 (PTI) Congress leader Rahul Gandhi will visit Sangrur in Punjab on November 4, the party’s state president Pargat Singh said on Sunday. Pargat Singh, a former hockey team captain, said the visit would give direction and… -
BJP’s NV Subhash Targets Rahul Gandhi Over Assembly Election StrategySubhash further alleged that the Congress was relying on media attention to amplify its claims about democracy and the Constitution, while asserting that the party lacked sufficient grassroots support. Hyderabad: BJP leader N V Subhash on… -
Rahul Gandhi sarcastically thanks the BJP for ‘promoting’ INDIA bloc’s Nov 1 rallyRahul Gandhi sarcastically thanked the BJP for “promoting” the INDIA bloc’s upcoming November 1 protest rally against Election Commission irregularities. The BJP strongly condemned the date, calling it as an insult to the 1984 anti-Sikh… -
Rahul Gandhi likely to appear before special MP/MLA court in UP on October 26Lok Sabha Leader of Opposition Rahul Gandhi is expected to appear before a Special MP/MLA Court in Sultanpur, Uttar Pradesh, on Monday, October 26, as the court is scheduled to pronounce its verdict in a defamation case against him. The… -
UP Politics: Congress Claims 200 Seats, Rahul Gandhi Posters Send a Message to Samajwadi PartyPolitical activity in Uttar Pradesh has intensified following the emergence of Congress posters claiming public confidence in Rahul Gandhi ahead of the upcoming Assembly elections. The posters, reportedly displayed in Lucknow, Amethi, Rae… -
Rahul Gandhi Likely to Appear in Court on Oct 26 for Defamation Case VerdictHome » Rahul Gandhi Likely to Appear in Court on Oct 26 for Defamation Case Verdict Lok Sabha Leader of Opposition Rahul Gandhi is expected to appear before a Special MP/MLA Court in Sultanpur, Uttar Pradesh, on Monday, October 26, as the… -
Delhi Traders Urge Rahul Gandhi to Postpone November 1 Rally Over Festive Season Concerns | N18Rahul Gandhi’s proposed November 1 rally in Delhi has drawn another appeal for reconsideration, with traders urging the Congress leader to postpone the event over concerns about business activity during the crucial festive season.The… -
Sanjay Raut Orchestrated AI-Generated Audio Clip, Doing Rahul Gandhi’s Bidding, Alleges BJPA political row has erupted over an audio clip alleging a ₹500 crore payout to Maratha quota activist Manoj Jarange. The BJP has accused Shiv Sena (UBT) leader Sanjay Raut of orchestrating an AI-generated recording, while Maharashtra… -
Rahul Gandhi is ‘Liar of Opposition’, not Leader of Opposition: Gujarat BJPHome » Accident » Rahul Gandhi is ‘Liar of Opposition’, not Leader of Opposition: Gujarat BJP Posted By: Gopi October 24, 2026 Ahmedabad, Oct 24 (SocialNews.XYZ) Gujarat Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) chief spokesperson Anil Patel on… -
'Thanks BJP For Supporting': Rahul Gandhi's Swipe At Centre Over Nov 1 Delhi Protest RallyLeader of Opposition in the Lok Sabha Rahul Gandhi on Sunday took a swipe at the BJP, thanking the ruling party and its allies for promoting the INDIA bloc's November 1 rally at Delhi's Ramlila Maidan. He urged people across sections of…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions