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NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner
The odds
- Jeremiah Smith39%▼ 3
- Darian Mensah22%▼ 8
- Malachi Toney18%▼ 3
- Jesse Legree4%▲ 1
- Josh Hoover3%▲ 2
- Bo Jackson3%▼ 1
- Ahmad Hardy3%▼ 1
- Kewan Lacy3%▼ 1
- Trinidad Chambliss2%
- Sam Leavitt2%▲ 1
- Arch Manning2%
- LaNorris Sellers2%▼ 1
20 more
- Keelon Russell2%
- CJ Carr2%
- Kevin Jennings1%
- Drew Mestemaker1%▼ 1
- Gunner Stockton1%▼ 4
- Rocco Becht1%
- Julian Sayin<1%
- Dante Moore<1%▼ 1
- John Mateer<1%
- Jayden Maiava<1%
- Will Hammond<1%
- Austin Mack<1%
- Brendan Sorsby<1%
- Marcel Reed<1%
- Byrum Brown<1%
- Bryce Underwood<1%
- Demond Williams Jr.<1%
- Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele<1%
- Kamario Taylor<1%
- Jadan Baugh<1%
How the odds have moved
Jeremiah Smith: 45% on Oct 20, 39% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiah Smith | 39% | ▼ 3 | 39¢ | 41¢ | $2.44 | $228K |
| Darian Mensah | 22% | ▼ 8 | 22¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | $21.7K |
| Malachi Toney | 18% | ▼ 3 | 18¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | $3.1K |
| Jesse Legree | 4% | ▲ 1 | 0¢ | 10¢ | $10.20 | $50 |
| Josh Hoover | 3% | ▲ 2 | 0¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | $727 |
| Bo Jackson | 3% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | 6¢ | $16.13 | $327 |
| Ahmad Hardy | 3% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | 6¢ | $16.39 | $265 |
| Kewan Lacy | 3% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | $563 |
| Trinidad Chambliss | 2% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | $5.6K | |
| Sam Leavitt | 2% | ▲ 1 | 0¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | $3K |
| Arch Manning | 2% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $22.73 | $1.7K | |
| LaNorris Sellers | 2% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | 4¢ | $23.81 | $1.7K |
| Keelon Russell | 2% | 0¢ | 4¢ | $25.64 | $7K | |
| CJ Carr | 2% | 0¢ | 3¢ | $29.41 | $2.6K | |
| Kevin Jennings | 1% | 0¢ | 3¢ | $29.41 | $1.5K | |
| Drew Mestemaker | 1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | 3¢ | $30.30 | $487 |
| Gunner Stockton | 1% | ▼ 4 | 0¢ | 2¢ | $43.48 | $811 |
| Rocco Becht | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | $47.62 | $552 | |
| Julian Sayin | <1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $100.00 | $1.9K | |
| Dante Moore | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | 1¢ | $19.7K | |
| John Mateer | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $861 | ||
| Jayden Maiava | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $886 | ||
| Will Hammond | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $588 | ||
| Austin Mack | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $866 | ||
| Brendan Sorsby | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $961 | ||
| Marcel Reed | <1% | 0¢ | $818 | |||
| Byrum Brown | <1% | 0¢ | $676 | |||
| Bryce Underwood | <1% | 0¢ | $2.1K | |||
| Demond Williams Jr. | <1% | 0¢ | $395 | |||
| Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele | <1% | 0¢ | $847 | |||
| Kamario Taylor | <1% | 0¢ | $50 | |||
| Jadan Baugh | <1% | 0¢ | $50 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Heisman, NCAA Football, Heisman Award
Search ›-
Heisman power rankings: Can Darian Mensah catch Jeremiah Smith?Can Jeremiah Smith hold onto the No. 1 spot in the 2026 Heisman Trophy race, or are Miami's Darian Mensah and Malachi Toney closing in? These updated Heisman rankings after Week 8 put the Ohio State receiver's production and strength of… -
Bucs Draft Scouting Report: Jeremiah SmithHome | Articles | Bucs Draft Scouting Report: Jeremiah Smith That’s a comment on my February 13th scouting report on Rueben Bain Jr. Let that be a lesson to you, the draft is never a guarantee. Teams scout all potential top picks, even if… -
Heisman Trophy 2026 predictions: Malachi Toney challenging Jeremiah Smith, Trinidad Chambliss falls after lossThe Longhorns kept their College Football Playoff hopes alive while also putting a serious dent in Ole Miss quarterback Trinidad Chambliss' Heisman case. Chambliss completed less than 50% of his passes and threw three interceptions… - Jeremiah Smith Hasn’t Forgotten Where It All BeganMIAMI GARDENS – As he gets ready for his third year as part of Ohio State’s football program, Jeremiah Smith fully understands what has put him in a position where he’s regarded as the best receiver in the country. From the time he started…
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Heisman Odds Week 9: Malachi Toney Surges Into Top 3 as Jeremiah Smith SlipsMiami wide receiver Malachi Toney vaulted into the top three of the Heisman Trophy odds entering Week 9 after a school-record performance, giving the No. 1 Hurricanes the second and third spots behind Ohio State wide receiver Jeremiah… -
Who is Miami's true Heisman frontrunner? Making the case for Darian Mensah and Malachi ToneyThe Miami Hurricanes have established themselves as the clear No. 1 team in the country, avoiding the chaos that's defined the 2026 season and entering Week 9 as one of three undefeated teams left in the FBS. Miami is in that position in… -
Off-Script Ohio: Midseason awards, more chaos and the Heisman raceOhio State was off this weekend, but college football didn't slow down. With the bye week giving us a chance to look back, Cole and Joey hand out their midseason awards. MVP, Offensive Player of the Year, Defensive Player of the Year, Best… -
Robert Griffin III’s Heisman Trophy picks will have Miami, Oregon State fans going crazyRobert Griffin III has released his latest Heisman Trophy picks, and fans of both Oregon State and Miami will be excited. The Heisman Trophy race seems like it is a race for runner-up currently. Jeremiah Smith is the favorite to win the… -
NFL Draft Order: Dolphins Chances at Jeremiah Smith Depend on Caleb DouglasThe Miami Dolphins are one of the favorites to claim the No. 1 overall pick for the 2027 NFL Draft. They are paying more money against the salary cap for players not on their team than for players that they have actually on the field. They… -
The Post’s college football rankings, Heisman watch following Week 8Who will take over with the Buckeyes starter likely out for the season? The Post’s Zach Braziller ranks the top teams after Week 8 of the college football season: 1. Ohio State (6-1) (Last week: 1) All eyes in Columbus are on the battle to… -
Ohio State's Offense Won't Have to Change Much if They Go With Luke FaheyThe Ohio State Buckeyes have yet to publicly make their decision on the quarterback position for this upcoming week. It is likely that news will come out on Tuesday, and if it doesn't, the Buckeyes will likely hold the news close to the… -
College football futures: Evaluating five contenders from the Group of 6We usually talk about the College Football Playoff, the national title race and the Heisman Trophy for this piece, but I want to take this in a different direction this week. A couple of those conversations are getting repetitive. For now…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
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