MLB: AL Rookie of the Year

Polymarket Sports › MLB Closes Dec 31 · $1.4K today · $1.7M traded · $10.6K at stake · prices read 29 min ago

The odds

96%Kevin McGonigle
  • Kevin McGonigle96%▲ 2
  • Parker Messick1%▼ 1
  • Munetaka Murakami1%
  • Kazuma Okamoto<1%
  • Carter Jensen<1%
  • Samuel Basallo<1%
  • Trey Yesavage<1%
  • Tatsuya Imai<1%
  • Chase DeLauter<1%
  • Connelly Early<1%
  • Carson Williams<1%
  • Dylan Beavers<1%
13 more
  • Travis Bazzana<1%
  • Colt Emerson<1%
  • Payton Tolle<1%
  • Walker Jenkins<1%
  • Carlos Lagrange<1%
  • Brice Matthews<1%
  • Spencer Jones<1%
  • Leo De Vries<1%
  • Max Clark<1%
  • George Lombard Jr.<1%
  • Sam Antonacci<1%
  • Gage Jump<1%
  • Tristan Peters<1%

How the odds have moved

Kevin McGonigle: 94% on Oct 20, 96% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Kevin McGonigle 96% ▲ 2 94¢ 98¢ $1.02 $71.5K
Parker Messick 1% ▼ 1 0¢ 2¢ $47.62 $10.6K
Munetaka Murakami 1% 0¢ 1¢ $83.33 $64K
Kazuma Okamoto <1% 0¢ $231K
Carter Jensen <1% 0¢ $95.1K
Samuel Basallo <1% 0¢ $2.5K
Trey Yesavage <1% 0¢ $3.9K
Tatsuya Imai <1% 0¢ $833
Chase DeLauter <1% 0¢ $5.4K
Connelly Early <1% 0¢ $71.8K
Carson Williams <1% 0¢ $431K
Dylan Beavers <1% 0¢ $1.5K
Travis Bazzana <1% 0¢ $5.7K
Colt Emerson <1% 0¢ $2.5K
Payton Tolle <1% 0¢ $196K
Walker Jenkins <1% 0¢ $64K
Carlos Lagrange <1% 0¢ $66.3K
Brice Matthews <1% 0¢ $141K
Spencer Jones <1% 0¢ $38.2K
Leo De Vries <1% 0¢ $112K
Max Clark <1% 0¢ $63.4K
George Lombard Jr. <1% 0¢ $231
Sam Antonacci <1% 0¢ $231
Gage Jump <1% 0¢ $5
Tristan Peters <1% 0¢ $361

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Kalshi

AL Rookie of the Year Winner (2026 season)

96%Kevin McGonigle
  • Kevin McGonigle96%▲ 2
  • Munetaka Murakami1%
  • Trey Yesavage<1%
  • Kazuma Okamoto<1%
26 more
  • Tatsuya Imai<1%
  • Carter Jensen<1%
  • Samuel Basallo<1%
  • Connelly Early<1%
  • Chase DeLauter<1%
  • Walker Jenkins<1%
  • Travis Bazzana<1%
  • Colt Emerson<1%
  • Payton Tolle<1%
  • Brice Matthews<1%
  • Spencer Jones Jr.<1%
  • Lazaro Montes<1%
  • Josue Briceño<1%
  • Carson Williams<1%
  • Max Clark<1%
  • Noah Schultz<1%
  • Hagen Smith<1%
  • George Lombard Jr.<1%
  • Braden Montgomery<1%
  • Sebastian Walcott<1%
  • Gage Jump<1%
  • Emmanuel Rodriguez<1%
  • Tie/Co-Winners<1%
  • Walbert Ureña<1%
  • Parker Messick<1%▼ 2
  • Sam Antonacci<1%
KalshiCloses Dec 8 · $1.1K today · $396K traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: AL Rookie, Kevin McGonigle, Parker Messick

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Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

>99%Harry Kane
  • Harry Kane>99%▲ 30
  • Kylian Mbappé<1%▼ 18
  • Erling Haaland<1%
16 more
  • Jude Bellingham<1%
  • Ousmane Dembélé<1%
  • Lamine Yamal<1%▼ 11
  • Vinícius Júnior<1%
  • Michael Olise<1%
  • Declan Rice<1%
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia<1%
  • Vitinha<1%
  • Achraf Hakimi<1%
  • Bruno Fernandes<1%
  • Luis Diaz<1%
  • Lautaro Martinez<1%
  • Lionel Messi<1%▼ 1
  • Rodri<1%
  • Pau Cubarsi<1%
  • Fabian Ruiz<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions