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F1: Action of the Year
The odds
51%Max Verstappen
- Max Verstappen51%
- Kimi Antonelli28%
- Lewis Hamilton7%▲ 1
- Franco Colapinto3%
- Oscar Piastri2%
- Liam Lawson2%
- Lando Norris2%
- Alexander Albon2%
- Fernando Alonso2%
- Nico Hulkenberg2%▲ 1
- Isack Hadjar1%
- Gabriel Bortoleto1%
10 more
- Pierre Gasly1%
- George Russell1%
- Oliver Bearman1%
- Valtteri Bottas1%
- Arvid Lindblad1%
- Sergio Perez1%
- Esteban Ocon1%
- Carlos Sainz1%▼ 1
- Charles Leclerc1%
- Lance Stroll<1%
How the odds have moved
Max Verstappen: 53% on Oct 20, 51% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Verstappen | 51% | 51¢ | 55¢ | $1.82 | $3.2K | |
| Kimi Antonelli | 28% | 28¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | $19.2K | |
| Lewis Hamilton | 7% | ▲ 1 | 7¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | $1.8K |
| Franco Colapinto | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $19.23 | $1.2K | |
| Oscar Piastri | 2% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.41 | $899 | |
| Liam Lawson | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | $586 | |
| Lando Norris | 2% | 2¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | $715 | |
| Alexander Albon | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $38.46 | $3.4K | |
| Fernando Alonso | 2% | 2¢ | 2¢ | $55.56 | $23.6K | |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 2% | ▲ 1 | 0¢ | 3¢ | $31.25 | $693 |
| Isack Hadjar | 1% | 0¢ | 3¢ | $32.26 | $803 | |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 1% | 0¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | $614 | |
| Pierre Gasly | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | $26.7K | |
| George Russell | 1% | 0¢ | 3¢ | $34.48 | $840 | |
| Oliver Bearman | 1% | 0¢ | 3¢ | $38.46 | $29.7K | |
| Valtteri Bottas | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | $45.45 | $43.5K | |
| Arvid Lindblad | 1% | 1¢ | 1¢ | $76.92 | $528 | |
| Sergio Perez | 1% | 1¢ | 1¢ | $83.33 | $27.3K | |
| Esteban Ocon | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | $55.56 | $622 | |
| Carlos Sainz | 1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | 1¢ | $83.33 | $4.4K |
| Charles Leclerc | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $100.00 | $762 | |
| Lance Stroll | <1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $724 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Formula 1, Grand Prix, Action
Search ›-
Kimi Antonelli wins U.S. Grand Prix in Texas, putting him on the brink of F1 championshipAUSTIN, Texas — Kimi Antonelli won the U.S. Grand Prix on Sunday with a dominant lights-to-flag drive, putting him on the brink of becoming the 2026 Formula 1 world champion. The 20-year-old Mercedes driver fell just short of clinching the… -
F1 returns to Austin—Here’s how to watch the US Grand Prix 2026 for freeThe Americas leg of the 2026 F1 season begins today with the 2026 United States Grand Prix. The 54th running of the U.S. Grand Prix will take place at the Circuit of the Americas in Austin, Texas. The 3.426 mile-course features 20 turns… -
Max Verstappen rages at 'idiot' former teammate during frustrating United States Grand PrixMax Verstappen’s hopes of a third consecutive win ebbed away during Sunday’s United States Grand Prix in Austin. Verstappen, lining up second, was expected to attack polesitter Kimi Antonelli into turn one, but he ended up driving… -
Max Verstappen and Isack Hadjar ready to take the fight to Kimi Antonelli for United States Grand Prix victoryMax Verstappen and Isack Hadjar will start P2 and P3 for today's US GP, giving Red Bull a double opportunity to challenge pole-sitter Kimi Antonelli for victory Max Verstappen and Isack Hadjar ready to take the fight to Kimi Antonelli for… -
Lando Norris' days as Formula 1 World Champion will be numbered after the United States Grand PrixLando Norris faces the mathematical end of his reign as F1 World Champion in today's United States Grand Prix, unless a miracle in his favour occurs COTA ... Lando Norris' days as Formula 1 World Champion will be numbered after the United… -
Lewis Hamilton and Max Verstappen disagree over F1’s plan to hold Grands Prix in Qatar and Abu DhabiLewis Hamilton and Max Verstappen have disagreed over whether F1 should continue to attempt to hold the 2026 editions of the Qatar Grand Prix and Abu Dhabi Grand Prix amid the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. As tension across the… -
United States Grand Prix Qualifying: Kimi Antonelli denies Max Verstappen, Ferrari falters when it mattersFormula 1 Championship leader Kimi Antonelli took pole for the 2026 United States Grand Prix beating Red Bull Racing's Max Verstappen as Ferrari lost steam when it mattered. United States Grand Prix Qualifying: Kimi Antonelli denies Max… -
Max Verstappen on painkillers to combat COTA bumps amid back issues at F1 US Grand PrixMax Verstappen admits he is taking painkillers to deal with the "impossible" bumps at COTA. Max Verstappen has revealed he is having to take painkillers to deal with the “impossible” bumps on the track that hosts the Formula 1 United… -
US Grand Prix: Reported F1 Upgrades for Every Team at AustinSeven of the 11 teams have declared new components for the 2026 Formula 1 United States Grand Prix. Notably, three of the four front-running teams are bringing in upgrades. Red Bull has won four of the last five races here. Let's see if… -
United States Grand Prix: Formula 1 Teams & Drivers report from Qualifying at COTA in AustinTeams and Drivers report from Qualifying for the United States Grand Prix, Round 18 of the 2026 Formula 1 World Championship, at Circuit of the Americas. United States Grand Prix: Formula 1 Teams & Drivers report from Qualifying at COTA in… -
United States Grand Prix: Formula One – live🏎️ Updates from Austin; race start 3pm CDT/8pm GMT 🏎️ Antonelli seizes US GP poll | Mail Tom with your thoughts On the US broadcast, Apple has decided to bring on as its expert … Apple CEO John Ternus. We find out that he likes driving and… -
The FIA's Dakar Rally decision shows Max Verstappen was right all along about Qatar and Abu DhabiIt is still not clear whether Formula 1 will visit Qatar and Abu Dhabi this season amid growing tension in the Middle East. This season’s Bahrain Grand Prix was held in Malaysia as a result of ongoing conflict, while the Saudi Arabian…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions