The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
SpaceX
>99%
▲ 13
100¢
100¢
$948
China
>99%
▲ 31
100¢
100¢
$496
Rocket
100%
▲ 68
99¢
100¢
$411
Cybertruck
100%
▲ 70
99¢
100¢
$527
Optimus
97%
▲ 1
93¢
100¢
$56
Robot
94%
▲ 1
88¢
100¢
$524
America
64%
▼ 21
28¢
100¢
$672
AI / Artificial Intelligence 10+ times
64%
▼ 8
28¢
100¢
$487
Software
64%
▼ 32
28¢
100¢
$212
Texas
64%
▼ 20
27¢
100¢
$550
Robotaxi 5+ times
63%
▼ 32
26¢
100¢
$649
SI / Super Intelligence
52%
▼ 27
3¢
100¢
$1K
Flying Car
49%
▼ 1
0¢
98¢
$1.03
$315
James Bond
35%
▲ 28
69¢
$1.45
$77
Street Legal
35%
▲ 28
69¢
$1.45
$87
Gigafactory
35%
▲ 11
69¢
$1.45
$316
Roadster 5+ times
1%
▼ 38
0¢
1¢
$100.00
$172
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Exclusive / SpaceX-Tesla merger could face antitrust scrutinysemafor.com · 4 days agoCould the Tesla-SpaceX merger that Elon Musk floated this week pose antitrust problems? One former Justice Department official told Semafor that the risks are real. Antitrust regulators view such “vertical” mergers as pro-competition, the…
With earnings in rearview mirror, SpaceX-Tesla merger chatter takes center stageCNBC · 4 days agoElon Musk told Tesla shareholders on Wednesday that, when it comes to a potential merger with SpaceX, he’d already “said everything that should be said.” Tesla’s head of investor relations told analysts before opening the call to their…
Tesla cuts capex forecast to about $20 BillionFox Business · 4 days agoTesla faces intense market scrutiny as Nancy Tengler and Ross Gerber join Liz Claman to debate the automaker's autonomous future. Tengler analyzes the Optimus robot delivery timeline, while Gerber raises safety concerns about Cybercab…
Tesla is prepping a Cybercab onslaughtTechCrunch · 5 days agoBuy One Founder Summit Ticket, Get a Second for Free. Register now. Tesla says it is preparing to launch its shiny gold Cybercab in new markets outside its home of Austin, Texas, in a bid to “literally take over every part of terrestrial…
Sure, let’s smoosh SpaceX and Tesla together, who caresThe Verge · 5 days agoYes, of course there are pay package incentives in play for Musk. But that’s not all. Oh sure, SpaceX’s credit risk is pretty high because it’s about to borrow another $40 billion to spend on Nvidia chips, but who cares about that? SpaceX…
SpaceX now says potential blockbuster Tesla merger would need Elon Musk’s approvalNew York Post · 4 days agoSpaceX said Thursday its potential merger with Tesla will require controlling investor Elon Musk’s approval, even though the entrepreneur has recused himself from talks between his two companies because of conflicts of interest. Musk, the…
The impact of a Tesla/SpaceX merger according to Tom NarayanCNBC · 5 days agoTom Narayan, lead equity analyst at RBC Capital Markets, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss the potential merger of Tesla and SpaceX, takeaways from Tesla in Q3 and more. The impact of a Tesla/SpaceX merger according to Tom Narayan
Tesla in ‘self-driving’ mode kills pedestrian, 71, on California freewayCalifornia Post · 5 days agoA Tesla traveling at 70 mph struck and killed a 71-year-old pedestrian on a Bay Area freeway in the dead of night – with the driver claiming the car was in Full Self-Driving mode. The victim was crossing Interstate 80 in Vallejo early…
Former Tesla board member on obstacles facing potential SpaceX mergerCNBC · 5 days agoSteve Westly, founder and managing partner of The Westly Group and a former Tesla board member, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the obstacles facing potential Tesla-SpaceX merger, his take on Tesla's Q3 earnings, and more. Former…
Tesla driver using Full Self-Driving struck and killed a man crossing I-80The Verge · 5 days agoPolice report dashcam footage confirmed attempts to brake and steer around the man before he was hit by the right front of the vehicle. ... Police report dashcam footage confirmed attempts to brake and steer around the man before he was…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
