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Test Match: South Africa vs Australia
The last odds before it closed
How the odds have moved
South Africa: 16% on Oct 20, >99% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 21, 8 PM ETSouth Africa: 25% → 83%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Africa | >99% | ▲ 17 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $46.9K | |
| Draw | <1% | ▼ 17 | 0¢ | $55.2K | ||
| Australia | <1% | 0¢ | $34.4K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: South Africa, Australia
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Australia get Cameron Green boost ahead of series-deciding Test against South Africa, set to return as specialist batterCameron Green has recovered from an abdominal injury and will play as a specialist batter. His return is significant as Australia prepares for the series-deciding third Test. While Matt Renshaw impressed in earlier matches, Green's… -
Australia must go big as a pack to win in South AfricaAustralia's failure to turn starts into big scores is a point of concern ahead of the series decider against South Africa, and one batters know must be fixed. -
Winds of change are coming for Australia as selection storm brews in South AfricaCrushing defeat in second Test raises fresh questions about visitors’ fragile batting lineup before Cape Town decider ... Winds of change are coming for Australia as selection storm brews in South Africa Crushing defeat in second Test… -
Cricket betting tips: Preview for South Africa vs Australia third Test in Cape TownRichard Mann has two bets lined up for the third Test between South Africa and Australia, with the series decider set to begin in Cape Town on Tuesday morning. 2pts Marco Jansen over 4.5 match wickets at evens (bet365) 2pts Cameron Green… -
Cameron Green Declares Himself Fit For South Africa Vs Australia 3rd Test, But There's A CatchCameron Green is available for Australia's third Test against South Africa but won't bowl following his abdominal injury, offering a timely batting boost ahead of the series decider Cameron Green is fit for Australia's third Test against… -
Anrich Nortje ruled out as South Africa announce squad for third Test against AustraliaNortje sustained the injury during the opening innings of the second Test and managed to bowl only 3.3 overs before being forced off the field. The fast bowler did not return to the contest, raising concerns about his availability for the… -
Cameron Green Declares Fitness for Australia’s South Africa Test Decider but Remains Unavailable to BowlCameron Green is set to return to Australia’s playing XI for the third Test against South Africa, although his recovery from an abdominal injury will not permit him to bowl. The series finale begins on Tuesday, October 27, at Newlands in… -
When is the Third Test South Africa vs. Australia? Live stream, TV channel, start times for Cape Town deciderThe third and final match of Australia's three-Test series against South Africa is being played at Newlands in Cape Town. The series is tied 1-1 after South Africa stormed to an innings win in Gqeberha, leaving the Australians searching… -
'We're not here to fall over' - South Africa want to show how good they really areWith a series win in sight, Rickelton says South Africa want to back up their WTC title by beating the best and proving their credentials SA flex their championship mettle through rain, nerves and late drama Nortje ruled out of Test series… -
Travis Head urges Australia to flex muscles in final Test vs South AfricaThe three-match Test series between South Africa and Australia is level at 1-1 after the home team won the Gqeberha Test by an innings and 31 runs. Batter Travis Head, who scored a century in the second innings of the game, has urged his… -
Cameron Green Available For 3rd Test Against South Africa But Can't BowlAll-rounder Cameron Green is available for selection for the third and final Test of the ongoing three-match series between Australia and South Africa, but he will not be able to bowl. The series decider between the two finalists of the… -
Josh Kempton: Why Cam Green must bat at No.5 in return to Australia’s Test team against South AfricaAlthough Cam Green modestly said he would bat wherever required in his return to the Test side, the West Australian simply must be carded in one of his preferred slots at No.5. Ahead of his looming return to Australiaâs Test side, Cam…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions