Gwen Stacy live-action film actress?

Polymarket Culture › Movies & box office Closes Dec 31, 2027 · $129 today · $22.7K traded · $2.7K at stake · prices read 6 h ago

The odds

56%No actor chosen by end of 2027

No actor chosen by end of 202756%▲ 2
Emma Myers23%▼ 3
McKenna Grace16%
Emma Stone3%▲ 1
Kiernan Shipka1%▲ 1
Sadie Sink1%
Emily Rudd1%
Ester Expósito<1%▼ 1

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
No actor chosen by end of 2027	56%	▲ 2	56¢	57¢	$1.75	$10.9K
Emma Myers	23%	▼ 3	23¢	24¢	$4.17	$5K
McKenna Grace	16%		16¢	17¢	$5.88	$5.9K
Emma Stone	3%	▲ 1	1¢	6¢	$16.39	$226
Kiernan Shipka	1%	▲ 1	0¢	3¢	$40.00	$171
Sadie Sink	1%		0¢	2¢	$55.56	$243
Emily Rudd	1%		0¢	1¢		$181
Ester Expósito	<1%	▼ 1	0¢	0¢		$185

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Gwen Stacy, Emma Myers, McKenna Grace

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No recent headlines name this market's subject.

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Trading closesDec 31, 2027 6:59 PM ET

Traded$22.7K

Today$129

This week$22.7K

At stake$2.7K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will play Gwen Stacy in a live-action feature film by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Actors announced to play the character in animated films or TV series will not qualify. Only live-action feature film castings will qualify. If more than one actor is announced to portray Gwen Stacy in the same film, only the actor cast in the principal role of the character will qualify. Actors cast to portray a younger, older, alternate, or variant version of the character, and actors serving as body doubles, stunt doubles, or voice doubles, will not qualify. If no actor is announced as the live-action Gwen Stacy within the timefr

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.