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Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
No recent headlines name this market's subject.
Erling Braut Haaland 84% ▼ 1 Alysa Liu 64% ▲ 4 Vozinha 33% ▲ 10 11 more Lindsey Vonn 32% ▲ 3 Kylian Mbappé 30% ▼ 28 Lionel Messi 27% Ilia Malinin 24% ▲ 4 Lamine Yamal 20% Folarin Balogun 20% Conor McGregor 19% Victor Wembanyama 14% Anthony Joshua 13% ▼ 6 Arch Manning 3% ▼ 1 Jalen Brunson 1% A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms 72% ▼ 14 Euphoria 56% Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story 49% ▲ 1 8 more Heated Rivalry 47% Widow's Bay 40% Stranger Things 35% ▲ 7 His & Hers 31% Teach You a Lesson 28% ▼ 1 The Boys 25% The Pitt 4% Ted Lasso 1% Zohran Mamdani 28% Pope Leo XIV 16% ▼ 1 Mark Carney 13% 39 more Benjamin Netanyahu 8% Donald Trump 8% Dario Amodei 8% AI 7% Reid Wiseman 7% ▲ 1 Elon Musk 6% ▲ 2 James Talarico 6% Abdul El-Sayed 6% ▲ 1 Sam Altman 6% Jeremy Hansen 5% Victor Glover 5% Christina Koch 5% Bad Bunny 4% Mojtaba Khamenei 4% Xi Jinping 4% ▼ 1 Shehbaz Sharif 4% Marco Rubio 4% Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf 4% Alysa Liu 3% Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 3% ChatGPT 3% Péter Magyar 3% Lionel Messi 3% Bernie Sanders 3% Jon Ossoff 3% James Stephen "Jimmy" Donaldson / MrBeast 3% Taylor Swift 2% ▼ 1 Jerome Powell 2% Steve Witkoff 2% Christopher Nolan 2% Chris Wright 2% Hakeem Jeffries 1% JD Vance 1% Andy Burnham 1% Susie Wiles 1% Pete Hegseth 1% Erika Kirk 1% Jared Kushner 1% Kevin Warsh 1% The Odyssey 94% ▲ 3 Obsession 86% ▲ 1 Spider-Man: Brand New Day 71% ▼ 4 8 more Michael 56% Backrooms 51% ▼ 8 Toy Story 5 42% ▼ 1 The Devil Wears Prada 2 22% Avengers: Doomsday 17% ▲ 4 Avatar: Fire and Ash 16% The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 10% Shrek 5 4% Tatyana Ali 30% ▲ 32 Tyler Cameron 17% ▼ 16 Ezra Frech 15% ▲ 20 7 more Maura Higgins 15% Jackson Olson 14% ▲ 1 Connor Wood 5% ▼ 5 Jenna Dewan 2% Amber Glenn 2% Harry Shum Jr. 2% ▲ 1 Julia Stiles 1% Lindsay Clancy 77% Erling Haaland 53% Alysa Liu 32% ▲ 6 4 more Nicolás Maduro 31% ▲ 1 Bad Bunny 24% ▼ 9 Donald Trump 12% Lamine Yamal 8% Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 7 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Trading closes Oct 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET
Traded $7K
Today $100
This week $127
At stake $3.2K
Followed here since Oct 19, 2026
The rules Braden Peters, known online as Clavicular, was charged on September 8, 2026 in Massachusetts with one count each of rape, drugging a person for sex, and furnishing alcohol to a minor, in connection with an alleged incident on May 23, 2025. His arraignment is scheduled for October 14, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if all charges against Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) stemming from this case are officially dropped, dismissed, withdrawn, or reduced to a non-felony charge by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Charges arising from any other case, including the March 26 battery charge in Florida, do not affect the resolution of this ma
The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket .
A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.
Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use .
