Who will be named as Xi Jinping's successor? (Before Jan 1, 2045)

Kalshi Elections › Around the world Closes Dec 31, 2044 · $2 today · $5.5K traded · $1.2K at stake · prices read 46 min ago

The odds

23%Ding Xuexiang
  • Ding Xuexiang23%
  • Li Qiang20%▼ 1
  • Zhao Leji14%
  • Li Xi12%▼ 1
  • Chen Jining9%▼ 2
  • Cai Qi6%
  • Yin Li3%
  • Zhang Guoqing3%
  • Li Ganjie1%
  • He Lifeng1%
  • Chen Min'er1%
  • Wang Huning1%
2 more
  • Ma Xingrui1%
  • Yin Yong1%

How the odds have moved

Ding Xuexiang: 24% on Oct 20, 23% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Ding Xuexiang 23% 22¢ 24¢ $4.17 4.6K
Li Qiang 20% ▼ 1 16¢ 23¢ $4.35 14.7K
Zhao Leji 14% 13¢ 16¢ $6.25 2.9K
Li Xi 12% ▼ 1 10¢ 14¢ $7.14 3.1K
Chen Jining 9% ▼ 2 8¢ 10¢ $10.10 6.4K
Cai Qi 6% 2¢ 10¢ $10.20 1.7K
Yin Li 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.83 2.6K
Zhang Guoqing 3% 0¢ 5¢ $20.41 487
Li Ganjie 1% 0¢ 2¢ $50.00 299
He Lifeng 1% 0¢ 2¢ $50.00 275
Chen Min'er 1% 0¢ 2¢ $52.63 531
Wang Huning 1% 0¢ 2¢ $52.63 336
Ma Xingrui 1% 0¢ 2¢ $52.63 527
Yin Yong 1% 0¢ 2¢ $52.63 304

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: China, Taiwan, Xi Jinping

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No recent headlines name this market's subject.

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.