Median: 95.4 on Oct 20, 95.1 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 64 | 99% | 98¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| Above 68 | 99% | 98¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| Above 72 | 99% | 98¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| Above 76 | 99% | 98¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 199 | |
| Above 80 | 99% | 98¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 3.1K | |
| Above 84 | 99% | 98¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 1.5K | |
| Above 88 | 99% | 98¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 1.1K | |
| Above 92 | 92% | 91¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | 9.00 | |
| Above 94 | 79% | 78¢ | 79¢ | $1.27 | 117 | |
| Above 96 | 28% | 27¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | 2.1K | |
| Above 98 | 14% | 13¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 2.3K | |
| Above 100 | 4% | 3¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 2.9K | |
| Above 104 | 3% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 385 | |
| Above 108 | 3% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 589 | |
| Above 112 | 3% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 1.7K | |
| Above 116 | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 2.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
No recent headlines name this market's subject.
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $107.82.
Already reached: ↑ $90, ↑ $95, ↓ $90, ↓ $90, ↓ $90, ↑ $90
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $350 and as low as $338.
Already reached: ↑ $344
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $772.50 and as low as $757.50.
Already reached: ↑ $765
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.