Average Wall Street bonus in 2026
$283,750median
$175,000$375,000
Median $283,750Middle half $262,500 – $305,729
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US Leading Economic Index change in October (October 2026)
The odds
-0.21%median
-0.6%0.4%
Median -0.21%Middle half -0.31% – 0.25%
How the odds have moved
Median: 0.02% on Oct 23, -0.21% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above -0.4% | 99% | ▲ 2 | 98¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 755 |
| Above -0.2% | 49% | 45¢ | 64¢ | $1.56 | 865 | |
| Above 0.0% | 49% | ▲ 14 | 43¢ | 66¢ | $1.52 | 1.1K |
| Above 0.2% | 49% | 8¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | 878 | |
| Above 0.3% | 3% | 4¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | 903 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Leading Economic Index
Search ›- Japan Leading Economic Index in line with expectations (118) in AugustComposed of a group of economic journalists and FX experts, the FXStreet content team produces and oversees all content published on FXStreet. It provides a purely journalistic approach to the Forex market. Find independent, trusted…
- US Leading Economic Index Holds Steady At 0% In September, Beating ExpectationsThe US economy delivered a slightly better reading than expected in September. The US Leading Index recorded a month on month change of 0.0%. This was better than the expected decline of 0.1%. The figure was shared by First Squawk on…
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Leading indicators index unchanged in September, decrease was expectedU.S. Leading Economic Index: flat M/M at 99.6 in September vs. -0.2% consensus and -0.1% in August, according to data released by The Conference Board on Thursday. U.S. Leading Economic Index was flat M/M at 99.6 in September vs. -0.2%… -
Forward-Looking Indicators Stay Flat in SeptemberLeading economic indicators in the month of September stayed essentially “flat,” according to an Oct. 22 press release from business research firm The Conference Board. The Leading Economic Index (LEI), a measure of where the economy is… -
Leading Indicators Point To Brighter Prospects for GrowthProspects for U.S. economic growth have brightened, with a broad improvement in leading economic indicators pointing toward a continued expansion, the Conference Board said Thursday. The Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index rose 0.6… -
Gold, silver pressured despite lower yields as Hormuz attacks send crude higher - Kitco AM Report(Kitco NewsWire) – Spot gold and silver prices were sharply lower in early U.S. trading Thursday, as renewed attacks on commercial shipping in the Strait of Hormuz and rising Middle East tensions pushed crude oil prices higher, reinforcing… -
Tokyo FX: Dollar-yen likely to trade in lower 158 range as market eyes US jobs data, Middle East risksIf US interest rates rise again, that would support the dollar-yen, while continued declines would tend to strengthen dollar selling. With few highly anticipated US economic indicators this week, US weekly initial jobless claims and the US… -
Meta and Tesla Earnings Ahead, SpaceX Revenue SurgesMarket Recap: U.S. stocks finished mostly higher Tuesday, with the Dow gaining 1%. The S&P 500 rose 0.3%, while the Nasdaq slipped less than 0.1%. Healthcare shares helped lead the advance as investors looked beyond technology stocks… - Japan Shows Growth Progress and Ongoing WeaknessHaver Analytics Japan Shows Growth Progress and Ongoing Weakness Japan’s sector surveys are showing some progress. However, the most recent observation from the METI sector indexes shows that the tertiary sector in August, which is the…
- The Conference Board Leading Economic Index for Australia Declined in AugustForex Factory The Conference Board Leading Economic Index for Australia Declined in August
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Australia Leading Index Edges LowerTradingView Australia Leading Index Edges Lower The Westpac–Melbourne Institute Leading Economic Index fell 0.1% month-on-month in September 2026, after remaining flat for the previous two months, marking its first decline since May… - Why Compass (COMP) Stock Is Down TodayTradingView Why Compass (COMP) Stock Is Down Today Shares of real estate technology company Compass What Is The Market Telling Us Compass’s shares are extremely volatile and have had 37 moves greater than 5% over the last year. In that…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions