Who will be Chair of Senate Commerce? (For the 120th Congress)
99%Maria Cantwell
- Maria Cantwell99%▲ 1
- Brian Schatz<1%▼ 2
- Edward J. Markey<1%▼ 2
Install
Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader? (Before Jan 3, 2027)
The odds
98%Abdul El-Sayed
- Abdul El-Sayed98%▲ 4
- Troy Jackson97%▲ 14
- Bernie Sanders96%▲ 3
- Elizabeth Warren94%▲ 28
- Peggy Flanagan91%▲ 8
- Juliana Stratton77%▲ 7
- Elissa Slotkin75%▼ 3
- Scott Colom74%▲ 43
- Adam Hamilton37%▼ 14
- Mary Peltola35%▲ 2
- Jon Ossoff35%▲ 4
- James Talarico32%▼ 14
8 more
- Annie Andrews30%▼ 31
- Chris Murphy29%▼ 3
- Andy Kim20%▼ 3
- Raphael Warnock15%▼ 4
- Mark Kelly11%▲ 3
- Mark Warner10%▼ 5
- Cory Booker9%▲ 5
- John Fetterman6%▲ 3
How the odds have moved
Abdul El-Sayed: 93% on Nov 15, 98% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdul El-Sayed | 98% | ▲ 4 | 70¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 428 |
| Troy Jackson | 97% | ▲ 14 | 10¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 345 |
| Bernie Sanders | 96% | ▲ 3 | 93¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 782 |
| Elizabeth Warren | 94% | ▲ 28 | 20¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 1.2K |
| Peggy Flanagan | 91% | ▲ 8 | 87¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 1.0K |
| Juliana Stratton | 77% | ▲ 7 | 18¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | 1.2K |
| Elissa Slotkin | 75% | ▼ 3 | 8¢ | 80¢ | $1.25 | 400 |
| Scott Colom | 74% | ▲ 43 | 7¢ | 74¢ | $1.35 | 213 |
| Adam Hamilton | 37% | ▼ 14 | 21¢ | 88¢ | $1.14 | 2.9K |
| Mary Peltola | 35% | ▲ 2 | 9¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 | 2.5K |
| Jon Ossoff | 35% | ▲ 4 | 7¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | 526 |
| James Talarico | 32% | ▼ 14 | 32¢ | 43¢ | $2.33 | 982 |
| Annie Andrews | 30% | ▼ 31 | 11¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | 2.0K |
| Chris Murphy | 29% | ▼ 3 | 21¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | 606 |
| Andy Kim | 20% | ▼ 3 | 8¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | 318 |
| Raphael Warnock | 15% | ▼ 4 | 6¢ | 80¢ | $1.25 | 200 |
| Mark Kelly | 11% | ▲ 3 | 75¢ | $1.33 | 131 | |
| Mark Warner | 10% | ▼ 5 | 50¢ | $2.00 | 210 | |
| Cory Booker | 9% | ▲ 5 | 85¢ | $1.18 | 21.00 | |
| John Fetterman | 6% | ▲ 3 | 20¢ | $5.00 | 16.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Van Hollen, Senate Democratic, Abdul El-Sayed
Search ›- Sen. Bernie Sanders supports Chris Van Hollen's bid to challenge Schumer for Senate Democratic leader postPolitics Sen. Bernie Sanders supports Chris Van Hollen's bid to challenge Schumer for Senate Democratic leader post 'The American people voted for change,' Sanders said in a post on X By Alex Nitzberg Fox News Published November 13, 2026…
- John Fetterman Signals Breaking Point With Democrats Over Van HollenNewsweek is a Trust Project member See more of our trusted coverage when you search.to see more of our trusted coverage when you search. Sen. John Fetterman has signaled that he could reach a breaking point with the Democratic Party if…
- DSA Backs Challenge to Schumer as Senate Democratic LeaderNewsweek is a Trust Project member See more of our trusted coverage when you search.to see more of our trusted coverage when you search. The Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) has backed a challenge to Senator Chuck Schumer's bid to…
- Can Chris Van Hollen Really Unseat Chuck Schumer?Support for the Maryland Democrat is growing as he challenges the establishment mainstay's reign in the Senate The day after the Democrats notched the most impressive electoral performance by either political party in a generation, Chuck…
- Chris Van Hollen launches challenge against Chuck Schumer to lead Senate DemocratsSen. Chris Van Hollen of Maryland (left) and Senate Democratic leader Chuck Schumer of New York. Getty Images See all topics Maryland Sen. Chris Van Hollen announced Thursday he would challenge New York Sen. Chuck Schumer for Senate…
- Van Hollen threatens Schumer’s Senate leadershipto topcloseVideoOn AirNovember 13, 20262:01CLIPVan Hollen threatens Schumer’s Senate leadership Senior congressional correspondent Chad Pergram reports the latest on Maryland Sen. Chris Van Hollen's push to oust Sen. Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y…
- Anthony Santander breaks silence on Islamophobic posts in wake of Abdul El-Sayed’s midterms winSee more of our coverage in your search results. Blue Jays outfielder Anthony Santander has broken his silence over two weeks after he came under fire for anti-Islam posts following Abdul El-Sayed’s U.S. Senate win in Michigan. Santander…
- Chuck Schumer Faces Senate Majority Challenger as Van Hollen Enters RaceLoading video...By Jennifer RadcliffeNewsweek is a Trust Project memberSee more of our trusted coverage when you search.to see more of our trusted coverage when you search.Maryland U.S. Senator Chris Van Hollen said Thursday that he will…
- Chris Van Hollen revs up his public campaign to replace Chuck SchumerThe 7LIVEDeveloping stories we're following Miriam Waldvogel and Erin Cox Sen. Chris Van Hollen (D-Maryland) is ramping up his challenge to replace Sen. Chuck Schumer (D-New York) as the head of the new Democratic majority in the upper…
- Chris Van Hollen to challenge Chuck Schumer for Senate majority leaderChris Van Hollen on Capitol Hill in Washington DC on 12 May. Photograph: Win McNamee/Getty Images Chris Van Hollen on Capitol Hill in Washington DC on 12 May. Photograph: Win McNamee/Getty Images Chris Van Hollen to challenge Chuck Schumer…
- Chris Van Hollen announces he will challenge Chuck Schumer for Senate majority leaderPolitics Chris Van Hollen announces he will challenge Chuck Schumer for Senate majority leader By Kaia Hubbard Politics Reporter Kaia Hubbard is a politics reporter for CBS News Digital, based in Washington, D.C. Read Full Bio Kaia Hubbard…
- Van Hollen challenges Schumer for Senate majority leaderWatch CBS News Van Hollen challenges Schumer Sen. Chris Van Hollen says he plans to challenge Sen. Chuck Schumer for Senate majority leader. CBS News' Nikole Killion reports. 4m ago (03:09) Videos View CBS News In CBS News App Open Chrome…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions