Settled0.83A day before, traders had a median of 0.82
The last odds before it closed
0.83median
✓ Above 0.803100%
✓ Above 0.805100%
✓ Above 0.807100%
✓ Above 0.809100%
✓ Above 0.811100%▲ 2
✓ Above 0.813100%▲ 3
✓ Above 0.815100%▲ 4
✓ Above 0.81798%▲ 12
✓ Above 0.81997%▲ 30
✓ Above 0.82197%▲ 53
✓ Above 0.82397%▲ 76
Above 0.82556%▲ 50
8 more
Above 0.8273%
Above 0.8293%▲ 1
Above 0.8313%▲ 1
Above 0.8331%▼ 2
Above 0.8351%▼ 2
Above 0.8371%▼ 2
Above 0.8391%
Above 0.8411%
How the odds have moved
Median: 0.83 on Oct 19, 0.83 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
Outcome
Last odds
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
✓ Above 0.803
100%
5.00
✓ Above 0.805
100%
✓ Above 0.807
100%
✓ Above 0.809
100%
✓ Above 0.811
100%
✓ Above 0.813
100%
✓ Above 0.815
100%
✓ Above 0.817
98%
✓ Above 0.819
97%
2.00
✓ Above 0.821
97%
2.00
✓ Above 0.823
97%
13.00
✗ Above 0.825
56%
1.00
✗ Above 0.827
3%
✗ Above 0.829
3%
✗ Above 0.831
3%
✗ Above 0.833
1%
✗ Above 0.835
1%
✗ Above 0.837
1%
✗ Above 0.839
1%
57.00
✗ Above 0.841
1%
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.
