Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 20.37.
Reaches 20.0078%
Reaches 21.003%
How the odds have moved
Reaches 21.00: 79% on Oct 22, 3% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
Oct 24, 6 PM ETReaches 21.00: 79% → 3%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Above 20
78%
9¢
79¢
$1.27
223
Above 21
3%
▼ 77
2¢
3¢
$33.33
2.8K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The congressional battlegrounds were set. Then Trump changed everything.POLITICO · 34 h ago“There's definitely a realignment going on in American politics,” said Dan Conston, the president of the Congressional Leadership Fund. A swath of districts with significant Latino populations swung hard to the right in 2024. | Alex…
The U.S. economy is doing even better than the government thoughtCBS News · 15 h agoUpdated on: November 29, 2023 / 11:26 AM EST / CBS/AP Shrugging off higher interest rates, America's consumers spent enough to help drive the economy to a brisk 5.2% annual pace from July through September, the Bureau of Economic Analysis…
School Sued Over Muslim Teacher's PilgrimageCBS News · 43 h agoDecember 14, 2010 / 7:36 AM EST / AP The federal government sued a suburban Chicago school district Monday for denying a Muslim middle school teacher unpaid leave to make a pilgrimage to Mecca that is a central part of her religion. Khan…
GoDaddy apologizes for "insensitive" phishing email offering bonuses to employeesCBS News · 45 h agoDecember 25, 2020 / 7:43 AM EST / AFP Scottsdale, Arizona-based web company GoDaddy apologized Thursday after an email that promised employees a Christmas bonus in the midst of pandemic-related economic troubles turned out to be a computer…
Expanding Access to Small Business FinancingCBS News · 35 h agoMarch 5, 2026 / 12:00 AM EST / Sponsored Content Navigating Barriers to Small Business Financing Forward Financing operates within this challenge. Its flagship product, revenue-based financing, centers on widening access to capital through…
Marie Osmond Opens Up About Son's SuicideCBS News · 15 h agoNovember 11, 2010 / 11:02 AM EST / CBS Marie Osmond lost her 18-year-old adopted son, Michael Blosil, to suicide nine months ago. Now, she's going public for the first time about the tragedy, discussing it with Oprah Winfrey. As CBS News…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.
