Install
US corn yield in the January 2027 USDA report
The odds
How the odds have moved
Median: 181.2 on Oct 19, 181.2 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Below 181.2 bu/acre | 51% | 47¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | 120 | |
| Above 181.2 bu/acre | 45% | 42¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | ||
| Exactly 181.2 bu/acre | 4% | 1¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 70.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: USDA
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Utah farmers face renewable energy hurdles under new USDA rulesA new federal rule could make it harder for Utah farmers to finance projects related to clean energy. The regulations require farmers to complete projects and document a year of energy savings before applying for funding. The U.S… -
Exporters sell US soybeans to China - USDAPublished on 10/15/2026 at 09:18 am EDT EU wheat subdued as traders assess Russia-Ukraine war news October 23, 2026 at 12:36 pm EDT AI has tipped China's stock market bearish Can the Fed Fight Inflation Without Hurting Farmers? -
Judge delays USDA's reorganization planA federal judge has stopped the USDA from a reorganization that was to close some offices, cut some staff and relocate some others. The stay is in effect for at least two months. The action by the U.S. District Court for the Northern… -
USDA Expands Cotton Crop Insurance Options for 2027A cotton bud framed by a sunset. LUBBOCK, Texas (RFD-TV) — Cotton producers could have more flexibility to combine crop insurance protections in 2027 under a new USDA action announced as part of the Great American Cotton Plan. USDA’s Risk… -
USDA Projects Rice Harvested Acreage at 53-Year LowWASHINGTON, D.C. (RFD-TV) — USDA projects U.S. rice harvested acreage at 2.057 million acres for 2026/27, the lowest level since 1972/73, as southern producers sharply reduce long-grain acreage. The Economic Research Service says all-rice… -
USDA Invests More Than $500 Million in Fertilizer ManufacturingThe FIELDS program aims to expand domestic production and increase competition in the fertilizer industry. USDA Invests More Than $500 Million in Fertilizer Manufacturing The FIELDS program aims to expand domestic production and increase… -
USDA Oct. 1 Cattle on Feed ReportAs the 2026 crop fills the hopper for DTN's View From the Cab farmers, fall operations start and plans begin to ratchet up for 2027. OMAHA (DTN) -- Cattle and calves on feed for the slaughter market in the United States for feedlots with… -
USDA corrects September corn data due to 'processing error"Published on 10/23/2026 at 04:27 pm EDT - Modified on 10/23/2026 at 05:04 pm EDT EU wheat subdued as traders assess Russia-Ukraine war news October 23, 2026 at 12:36 pm EDT A Change of Heart on AI Stock Markets: A Perfect Storm or a… -
USDA is cutting red tape, not standards, on farm and ranch loansUSDA Under Secretary Richard Fordyce explains streamlined farm loan applications, faster approvals and unchanged lending standards. USDA is cutting red tape, not standards, on farm and ranch loans When farmers and ranchers need access to… -
USDA wants specialty crop data for Harvest Fuel Relief programThe U.S. Department of Agriculture plans to announce eligible commodities and payment rates for Title I crops under the Harvest Fuel Relief program in November. But the department needs more information about field activities tied to… -
USDA: Tribal Advisory Committee Appointments Announced; Nominations Open for Additional Members(Washington, D.C., October 23, 2026, USDA) – The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) today announced the appointment of four members to the USDA Tribal Advisory Committee and a call for nominations to serve on the Committee. U.S… -
‘Unacceptable’: Corn Growers Blast USDA After Major Crop Data Error Comes to LightNational Corn Growers Association (NCGA) leadership is calling out the federal government after USDA admitted late Friday to a major data processing error in its September crop reporting—a mistake corn industry leaders say severely damaged…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions