Atlantic Tropical Storms (Dec 2026)
9.63median
818
Median 9.63Middle half 9.22 – 10.3
Install
Number of tropical storms in the Atlantic in 2026?
The odds
34%Above 10
835
How the odds have moved
Above 10: 34% on Oct 20, 34% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 10 | 34% | ▲ 1 | 32¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | 17.7K |
| Above 12 | 7% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 7.2K |
| Above 14 | 3% | 2¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 8.3K | |
| Above 16 | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 8.1K | |
| Above 18 | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 10.1K | |
| Above 20 | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 659 | ||
| Above 25 | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 216 | ||
| Above 30 | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 829 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: hurricane, tropical storm, Atlantic
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
Related markets
All hurricanes & storms ›How many Eastern Pacific hurricanes will there be this year? (Eastern Pacific in 2026)
10.3median
714
Median 10.3Middle half 9.52 – 10.9
How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
18%Above 1
08
What named storms will be hurricanes in the Eastern Pacific this year? (Eastern Pacific in 2026)
100%Trudy
- Trudy100%
- Xavier92%
- Vance64%▲ 34
13 more
- Zeke27%▼ 23
- Winnie5%
- Yolanda4%
- Lowell4%
- Amanda1%
- Boris1%
- Cristina1%
- Douglas1%
- Elida1%
- Hernan1%
- Iselle1%
- Julio1%
- Norbert1%
What named storms will be hurricanes in the Atlantic this year? (Atlantic in 2026)
28%Josephine
- Josephine28%▼ 4
- Kyle16%▲ 2
- Leah8%▼ 7
14 more
- Marco5%
- Nana3%▼ 13
- Omar3%▼ 3
- Paulette3%▼ 3
- Rene3%▲ 1
- Sally3%▼ 8
- Teddy3%
- Vicky3%▼ 2
- Dolly1%
- Edouard1%
- Fay1%
- Gonzalo1%
- Hanna1%
- Wilfred1%
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
3%chance▼ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.