Target transactions change in Q3 2026

Kalshi Finance › Companies Closes Jul 29, 2027 · $14.9K today · $14.9K traded · $12.2K at stake · prices read 6 min ago

The odds

3.32%median
-2.5%11.5%
Median 3.32%Middle half 2.67% – 5.07%

How the odds have moved

Median: 3.3% on Oct 27, 3.32% now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Above 0% 99% 98¢ 99¢ $1.01 10.2K
Above 2.5% 84% 79¢ 89¢ $1.12 2.0K
Above 3% 57% 63¢ 84¢ $1.19 1.9K
Above 3.5% 46% 47¢ 69¢ $1.45 1.5K
Above 4% 45% 45¢ 57¢ $1.75 1.4K
Above 4.5% 26% 30¢ 61¢ $1.64 1.5K
Above 5% 26% 23¢ 32¢ $3.13 1.2K
Above 5.5% 20% 19¢ 21¢ $4.76 190
Above 6% 13% 12¢ 13¢ $7.69
Above 6.5% 11% 10¢ 11¢ $9.09
Above 9% 2% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 4.0K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Target

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  • US solar energy provider targets Nigeria expansionsemafor.com · 28 h agoThe expansion will serve more than 30,000 people in the oil-rich but electricity-poor Niger Delta region. US solar energy provider targets Nigeria expansion A US solar energy provider plans to grow its Africa operations by adding…
  • Gossip: Barcelona and Napoli target BergvallBBC Sport · 41 h agoTottenham's Sweden midfielder Lucas Bergvall, 20, is a target for Napoli and Barcelona. (Tuttomercato via Teamtalk), external Antonelli delivers 'the race of a champion who isn't the champion yet' Mourinho keeps Clasico midas touch 13…
  • Campaign targets women's fears over night-time runningBBC News · 26 h agoRunning groups are hoping a campaign to make running safer for women after dark can change attitudes. Let's Lift the Curfew, which was set up by Sport England, is timed to coincide with the clocks going back. It said its own research…
  • Gossip: Man Utd target move for BranthwaiteBBC Sport · 41 h agoManchester United are targeting a move for 24-year-old Everton and England defender Jarrad Branthwaite as they aim to make big changes to their defence. (Football Insider), external Antonelli delivers 'the race of a champion who isn't the…
  • Stitches targets Cowboys vs. Eagles on ‘Monday Night Football’New York Post · 22 h ago“Stitches, even though you’re not betting real money and making an effort to cut your deficit, are you suggesting readers bet $100 on Texas Tech (-440)? Anyone who lays that on a ‘sure winner’ needs to be committed. I realize your article…
  • Iran steps up efforts to target Americans, unclassified memo warnsFox News · 26 h agoFox News senior strategic analyst Gen. Jack Keane joins 'America's Newsroom' to discuss an unclassified memo detailing Iran's increased efforts to target U.S. citizens and analyzes potential military responses in the region. Iran steps up…
  • Goldman Sachs slashes Kospi target to 9,000 but still sees over 60% upsideCNBC · 42 h agoGoldman Sachs has slashed its 12-month target for South Korea's benchmark Kospi index to 9,000 from 12,000, citing heightened market volatility and slowing earnings momentum. Despite the sharp cut, ...
  • Campaigners warn Welsh island could be target for nuclear attackBBC News · 29 h agoThere are plans to build the UK's first small modular reactor (SMR) nuclear power station on the former Wylfa site Campaigners have warned plans for the UK's first small modular reactor power station on Anglesey could make it a target for…
  • Three Safeties The Bills Should Target At NFL Trade DeadlineYahoo Sports · 33 h agoThe NFL Trade Deadline is roughly two weeks away, and the Buffalo Bills need a lot of help on the defensive side. Whether it's on the line, at inside linebacker, or in the secondary, there's a lot that needs to be done to help the Bills go…
  • Cleveland Guardians Starting Pitcher Could be Trade Target for Minnesota TwinsYahoo Sports · 25 h agoThe Minnesota Twins have plenty of candidates for their 2027 rotation, but their longer-term picture is less settled. Joe Ryan, Pablo López, Dean Kremer and Bailey Ober can all become free agents after that season (assuming it happens), a…
  • Illegal alien pleads guilty to staging fake kidnapping to target Border PatrolFox News · 18 h ago‘The Big Weekend Show’ co-host Joey Jones breaks down deportation numbers and illegal immigration enforcement data under the Trump administration. Federal officials on Monday announced that an illegal alien from Mexico pleaded guilty to…
  • Iran ramping up efforts to target Americans, intelligence warnsFox News · 43 h ago‘The Big Weekend Show’ co-hosts discuss President Donald Trump’s options for dealing with Iran as intelligence warns the regime may be ramping up efforts to target Americans. Iran ramping up efforts to target Americans, intelligence warns…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions