Largest Company end of October 2026?
61%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA61%▼ 2
- Apple39%▲ 5
- Alphabet<1%
6 more
- Microsoft<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Broadcom<1%
- Amazon<1%
- SpaceX<1%
Install
Target comparable sales growth in Q3 (comparable sales growth in Q3 2026)
The odds
4.22%median
-0.5%7%
Median 4.22%Middle half 2.5% – 6.08%
How the odds have moved
Median: 4.63% on Oct 20, 4.22% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 0% | 98% | 95¢ | $1.03 | 74.00 | ||
| Above 0.5% | 96% | 92¢ | $1.04 | 460 | ||
| Above 1% | 95% | 90¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| Above 1.5% | 92% | 87¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | ||
| Above 2% | 84% | 79¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | 691 | |
| Above 2.5% | 75% | ▼ 1 | 70¢ | 80¢ | $1.25 | 810 |
| Above 3% | 68% | ▼ 1 | 63¢ | 73¢ | $1.37 | 694 |
| Above 3.5% | 63% | ▼ 2 | 58¢ | 68¢ | $1.47 | 1.0K |
| Above 4% | 54% | ▼ 2 | 49¢ | 59¢ | $1.69 | 2.9K |
| Above 4.5% | 45% | ▼ 2 | 40¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | 2.2K |
| Above 5% | 33% | ▼ 2 | 28¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | 2.5K |
| Above 5.5% | 29% | ▼ 3 | 24¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 | 21.00 |
| Above 6% | 26% | ▼ 2 | 21¢ | 31¢ | $3.23 | |
| Above 6.5% | 20% | ▼ 2 | 15¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Target
Search ›-
Proposed rules target US-China biotech tiesDelivered every Tuesday and Friday by 12 p.m., Prescription Pulse examines the latest pharmaceutical news and policy. 10/23/2026 12:00 PM EDT TREASURY EYES CHINA BIOTECH DEALS — The Treasury Department proposed new rules Thursday to curb… -
London Irish target 2027 return after takeoverLondon Irish have been inactive since going into administration in June 2023 London Irish hope to return to professional rugby as early as next season with new owner and chairman Steve Daniels vowing to put the club "firmly back on the… -
Trump's executive order targets mortgage insurance, refinance costs. What it means for borrowersPresident Donald Trump has signed an executive order that aims to reduce mortgage costs as rising interest rates and inflation make homeownership less affordable. The order, titled "Decreasing Housing Costs for the American People,"… -
NBA Fantasy: Week 1 waiver wire targetsRotoWire highlights players you should consider picking up in your fantasy basketball leagues. Even in a limited role, Jalen Smith can be a productive big man for both the Chicago Bulls and your 9-cat fantasy squad. Despite the regular… -
Texas GOP rep targeted in alleged assassination plotFederal authorities arrest a 17-year-old Texas boy accused of plotting to assassinate Rep. Keith Self, R-Texas. Texas GOP rep targeted in alleged assassination plot Federal authorities arrest a 17-year-old Texas boy accused of plotting to… -
Dallas police officer Darron Burks "executed" in targeted attack, chief saysUpdated on: August 30, 2024 / 9:25 PM CDT / CBS Texas DALLAS – Dallas Police Chief Eddie Garcia says Officer Darron Burks, who was fatally shot late Thursday, was the victim of a targeted attack rather than an ambush. Burks, 46, was killed… -
Broncos Trade Deadline: 5 Realistic Targets to Move the NeedleThe Denver Broncos still have three games to go between now and the November 10 NFL trade deadline. The Broncos have some apparent needs, including running back and offensive line, but the next three weeks could reshape the conversation… -
US Intel warns Iran boosting efforts to target Americans in MideastIran has ramped up efforts to target Americans overseas, with lethal plots reaching “advanced stages” as the Trump administration weighs renewed military strikes against Tehran, new intelligence is warning. Director of National… -
Democrat James Talarico targets Elon Musk at rally: ‘Texas is not for sale’The Senate candidate denounced opponent Ken Paxton, calling out corruption allegations and support from Musk James Talarico, the Democratic candidate for the US Senate in Texas, has taken aim at Elon Musk, warning that the tech mogul is… -
Iran has "increased efforts to target U.S. personnel," intel chief warnsOctober 23, 2026 / 11:13 PM EDT / CBS News Director of National Intelligence Jay Clayton warned Friday that Iran has "substantially increased efforts to target U.S. personnel" abroad, with plots to kill Americans reaching "advanced stages"… -
Saudi-led coalition says it intercepted Houthi ballistic missiles targeting Saudi citiesThe Saudi-led coalition fighting Yemen's Houthis said it destroyed two ballistic missiles fired by the Iran-aligned group towards Taif and Yanbu on Saturday, as fighting between the sides continued. Saudi Arabia's Civil Defense briefly… -
Michigan Targeting Another 5-Star QB Amid Bryce Underwood Transfer RumorsOct 23, 2026 at 07:19 PM EDT Things haven’t gotten much better for the Michigan Wolverines under head coach Kyle Whittingham. Though the Sherrone Moore era is a thing of the past, Whittingham has struggled to put his stamp on one of the…
Related markets
All companies ›CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?
27%December 31, 2029
- December 31, 202712%
- December 31, 202819%▲ 3
- December 31, 202927%
Largest Company end of December 2026?
59%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA59%▲ 2
- Apple39%
- Alphabet1%
5 more
- SpaceX1%
- Microsoft<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
99%October 31
- October 3199%▲ 1
- November 3099%▲ 1
- December 3199%▲ 14
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?
>99%October 31
- October 31>99%
- December 31>99%
Fast food credit card spend array index in October 2026
92.9median
78110
Median 92.9Middle half 87.6 – 96.2
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.