Tallahassee Mayoral Election (2026)

Kalshi Elections › State & local Closes Aug 18, 2027 · $8.9K traded · $3K at stake · prices read 16 min ago

The odds

65%Loranne Ausley
  • Loranne Ausley65%▼ 1
  • Jeremy Matlow35%▼ 1

How the odds have moved

Loranne Ausley: 52% on Oct 20, 65% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 21, 7 PM ETLoranne Ausley: 52% → 62%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Loranne Ausley 65% ▼ 1 64¢ 66¢ $1.52 8.9K
Jeremy Matlow 35% ▼ 1 34¢ 35¢ $2.86 8.1K
Daryl Parks 2% $50.00 11.0K
Michael Foust 1% $100.00 541
Al Lawson 1% $100.00 870

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Tallahassee Mayoral, Loranne Ausley, Jeremy Matlow

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  • The TR Daily Briefs: Thursday, October 22, 2026Tallahassee Reports · 3 days agoWeather: Today, sunny, with a high near 81. Tonight, clear, with a low around 53. Friday, sunny, with a high near 78. Friday night, clear, with a low around 52. NWS US stock markets close higher (S&P 500 +0.6%, Dow +0.7%, Nasdaq +1.1%)…
  • Sheriff Walt McNeil Joins Growing List of Ausley EndorsementsTallahassee Reports · 3 days agoLeon County Sheriff Walt McNeil has endorsed Loranne Ausley for Tallahassee mayor, joining a growing list of local elected officials, faith leaders and statewide political figures supporting her campaign. The endorsement was included in an…
  • Tempers flare as politics, policy merge at Dailey's last city meetingMiramar News · 3 days agoThe city commission's final meeting before pivotal elections, which may upend the the current power structure at City Hall, was marked by firsts and lasts. It featured a fiery finale for the mayor and an introduction to the dais for the…
  • Tallahassee commissioners push back on fire agreement complaints, cite city-only planWTWCFOX · 4 days agoTALLAHASSEE, Fla. -- Tallahassee city leaders pushed back Wednesday night against Leon County commissioners’ complaints about the city-county fire services agreement, signaling the city is preparing for the possibility of ending the…
  • Big Bend voter guideWTXL ABC 27 Tallahassee News · 3 days agoWTXL ABC 27 Voters across North Florida and the Big Bend will decide local races, school board seats, county commission contests and ballot measures in addition to statewide contests during the Nov 3 election.Carrie Hughes (R)Beverly…
  • Tallahassee mayor race: Voter guide to the 2026 general electionMiami Herald · 7 days agoTallahassee Mayor (City Commission, Seat 4) Type of race: Nonpartisan Who can vote: All registered voters in the city of Tallahassee What's next: The winner of the Nov. 3 general election takes office 13 days later, which is Wednesday…
  • Matlow’s Green Energy Agenda Comes with Higher BillsTallahassee Reports · 4 days agoCalifornia-backed progressive groups want Tallahassee to accelerate its transition from natural gas to renewable energy; recent examples highlight the potential cost to electric utility customers. Tallahassee City Commissioner Jeremy…
  • Digital campaign signs from unknown sponsor appear in Tallahassee, cause confusion and concern@WCTV · 6 days agoTALLAHASSEE, Fla. (WCTV) - As early voting is underway, Tallahassee residents are seeing campaign signs along roadways all over town leading up to the general election. However, quite a few drivers on Monday noticed an endorsement of two…
  • Leon County Commission District 3: Voter guide to the general electionMiami Herald · 7 days agoLeon County Commission District 3 Type of race: Nonpartisan Who can vote: All registered voters in District 3 in the northwest part of the county What's next: The winner takes office on the second Tuesday after the Nov. 3 general election…
  • Property tax, arts funding: What could change if Amendment 3 passesBradenton Herald · 7 days agoTallahassee has a vibrant arts and culture scene. From concerts at Cascades Park to annual film festivals, open mic nights, and art exhibitions, local events bring the whole community together. Many local arts organizations rely on funding…
  • Census Data Raise Questions About Tallahassee’s ‘Overdevelopment’ DebateTallahassee Reports · 9 days agoDeveloper influence, urban sprawl and environmentally damaging growth have become recurring themes in the progressive campaigns for the Tallahassee City Commission. But federal building permit data raise questions about whether Tallahassee…
  • The ultimate Tallahassee voter guide to the 2026 general electionYahoo News · 9 days agoTo help you dig into the issues and vote with confidence, we present a collection of links to debates, Q&As and information about the races and candidates on the Nov. 3 ballot. Monday, Oct. 19: First day of early voting Thursday, Oct. 22…

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